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Home Spain La Liga Malaga — Deportivo La Coruna

Match Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna August 24, 2026 — Result and Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Malaga
Malaga
Home · last 5 L D
Kick-off
Mon 24 Aug · 19:30
1:1
Full-time
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
D D Away · last 5
Estadio La Rosaleda · Malaga Referee J. Alberola
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 40% · book 2.30
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 38% · book 2.56
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 32% · book 3.38
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.97 – 1.11
Δ +0.86
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.88 — +13.0% better than the market.

This La Liga clash features two sides with limited recent form data, making it a cautious encounter. Malaga's home advantage could offer a slight edge, but Deportivo La Coruna's recent draw hints at a resilient defense. Expect a compact game with low scoring, as odds favor under 2.5 goals and a no BTTS scenario.

  • Home side's familiarity with the pitch may help control tempo.
  • Deportivo's defensive solidity likely to limit clear chances.
  • Both teams may prioritize cautious buildup over risky attacks.

Overall, anticipate a tight match with few goals and a tactical battle in midfield, where defensive discipline will be key.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.88 ✗ Lost
AI 60% Implied 53% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MAL 4-4-2 · COR 4-4-2
Subs used · MAL
56' Larrubia ↑ · Cruz
73' Abaida ↑ · Munoz
73' Rodriguez ↑ · Dotor
85' Lobete ↑ · Merino
85' Enriquez ↑ · Lorenzo
Subs used · COR
62' Mella ↑ · Altimira
62' Villares ↑ · Asp
73' Hernandez ↑ · Luismi
74' Ede ↑ · Loureiro
85' Nsongo ↑ · Soriano

📊 Statistics

MAL 11 COR
55%
Possession (%)
45%
1.97
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.11
13
Total Shots
6
2
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
1
5
Shots Inside Box
3
7
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
12
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
1
Yellow Cards
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

17 · 1 – 1
21'
P. Aubameyang
Assist · Cruz Luismi · 0–1
25'
M. Soriano
Yellow Card
Chupe (P)
Penalty · 1–1
34'
Half-time · 1 – 1
D. Larrubia ↓ · J. Cruz ↑
Substitution 1
56'
57'
G. Quagliata
Yellow Card
D. Larrubia
Yellow Card
61'
62'
D. Mella ↓ · A. Altimira ↑
Substitution 1
62'
D. Villares ↓ · J. Asp ↑
Substitution 2
H. Abaida ↓ · J. Munoz ↑
Substitution 2
73'
R. Rodriguez ↓ · C. Dotor ↑
Substitution 3
73'
73'
Y. Hernandez ↓ · Cruz Luismi ↑
Substitution 3
74'
B. Ede ↓ · M. Loureiro ↑
Substitution 4
79'
X. Navarro
Yellow Card
85'
B. Nsongo ↓ · M. Soriano ↑
Substitution 5
J. Lobete ↓ · I. Merino ↑
Substitution 4
85'
R. Enriquez ↓ · D. Lorenzo ↑
Substitution 5
85'
89'
B. Nsongo
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.97 to 1.11. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 6, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Aubameyang (21'), Chupe (34').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.65 units (Brier 0.155).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.30 2.30 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.56 2.91 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.38 3.40 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.88 1.88 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.08 1.89 45% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.46 2.20 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.30 2.35 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.67 1.63 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.60 1.59 60% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 1.40 57% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.67 1.67 67% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.38 1.32 66% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Draw 3.00 3.05 29% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 1.07 87% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Under 0.5 7.00 8.00 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.15 1.20 81% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.83 4.00 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.65u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MAL – COR @ 1.88
+13.0%
Edge
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