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Home Spain La Liga Alaves — Getafe

Predictions Alaves vs Getafe August 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 W D
Kick-off
Sat 15 Aug · 17:30
3:0
Full-time
Getafe
Getafe
L W Away · last 5
Estadio de Mendizorroza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain
Home Win · ALA
40%
Best 2.48
Draw
31%
Best 2.90
Away Win · GET
29%
Best 3.75
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.55
Fair odds
3.44
book 3.55 · +3.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 29% · EV +3.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (40%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 30.7%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 29.1%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 1.5
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds 3.04
Show model details
Implied probability 32.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 85.7%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 14.3%
Odds 6.45
Show model details
Implied probability 15.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5
Probability 82.7%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 17.3%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 29.1%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
ALA – GET @ 3.55
+3.2%
Edge
Forecast →