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Home › Spain › La Liga › Alaves — Getafe

Predictions by Market: Alaves vs Getafe

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 W L L D L
Kick-off
Sat 15 Aug · 17:30
3:0
Full-time
Getafe
Getafe
D D L W L Away · last 5
Estadio de Mendizorroza · Victoria-Gasteiz Referee Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ALA
40%
Best 2.48
Draw
31%
Best 2.90
Away Win · GET
29%
Best 3.75
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.55
Fair odds
3.44
book 3.55 · +3.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 29% · EV +3.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (40%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 30.7%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 29.1%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds 3.04
Show model details
Implied probability 32.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 85.7%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 14.3%
Odds 6.45
Show model details
Implied probability 15.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5
Probability 82.7%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 17.3%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 29.1%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
ALA – GET @ 3.55
+3.2%
Edge
Forecast →