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Home › Spain › La Liga › Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano

Predictions by Market: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Sevilla
Sevilla
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 15 Aug · 19:30
2:1
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
L W L W D Away · last 5
Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SEV
42%
Best 2.48
Draw
28%
Best 3.25
Away Win · RAY
31%
Best 3.29
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.28
Fair odds
3.27
book 3.28 · +0.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 31% · EV +0.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (42%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.18
Show model details
Implied probability 31.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 30.6%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.8%
Odds 2.86
Show model details
Implied probability 35%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 83%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.19
Show model details
Implied probability 23.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.6%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30.6%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
SEV – RAY @ 3.28
+0.2%
Edge
Forecast →