P
Prognosist
P
Home › Spain › La Liga › Atletico Madrid — Malaga

Predictions by Market: Atletico Madrid vs Malaga

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 L W W W W
Kick-off
Wed 19 Aug · 19:00
2:0
Full-time
Malaga
Malaga
D D L L D Away · last 5
Referee A. Cordero

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATM
65%
Best 1.37
Draw
19%
Best 5.39
Away Win · MAL
16%
Best 9.85
Value pick
AH Away 0
@ 6.60
Fair odds
6.16
book 6.60 · +7.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 16% · EV +7.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 16.2%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 18.8%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 65%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.4%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.3%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 63%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.1%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.3%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 16.2%
Odds 6.60
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 65%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 35%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 83.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · AH Away 0
ATM – MAL @ 6.60
+7.1%
Edge
Forecast →