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Home Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Malaga

Predictions Atletico Madrid vs Malaga August 19, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W D
Kick-off
Wed 19 Aug · 19:00
2:0
Full-time
Malaga
Malaga
L D Away · last 5
Referee A. Cordero
Home Win · ATM
65%
Best 1.37
Draw
19%
Best 5.39
Away Win · MAL
16%
Best 9.85
Value pick
AH Away 0
@ 6.60
Fair odds
6.16
book 6.60 · +7.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 16% · EV +7.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 16.2%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 18.8%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 65%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 32.4%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.3%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 63%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 76.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23.1%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.3%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 16.2%
Odds 6.60
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 65%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 35%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 83.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · AH Away 0
ATM – MAL @ 6.60
+7.1%
Edge
Forecast →