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Home England Premier League Chelsea — Arsenal

Predictions Chelsea vs Arsenal November 30, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 16:30
1:1
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W W W W W Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Home Win · CHE
22%
Best 3.10
Draw
26%
Best 3.13
Away Win · ARS
52%
Best 2.51
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.99
Fair odds
1.75
book 1.99 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 57% · EV +13.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 52.2%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 21.5%
Odds 3.47
Show model details
Implied probability 28.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.1%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 42.9%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.4%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 41%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 52.2%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 21.5%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 47.8%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
CHE – ARS @ 1.99
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →