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Sunderland vs Brighton 0:2: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Sunderland
Sunderland
Home · last 5 W D L L L
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 14:00
0:2
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
L D W W W Away · last 5
Stadium of Light · Sunderland Referee Thomas Bramall
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 47% · book 2.48 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 51% · book 1.91 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.08 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.68 – 1.14
Δ −0.46
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.40 — +3.2% better than the market.

Brighton arrives at Stadium of Light with a clear quality edge and recent winning momentum, contrasting Sunderland's mixed form. Brighton's sharper attack faces Sunderland's solid but tested defense, suggesting tactical battles on both ends. Home advantage offers Sunderland some resilience, but Brighton's pressing and offensive efficiency could tilt the balance.

  • Brighton's offensive threat challenges Sunderland's defense
  • Home crowd support may boost Sunderland's compact block
  • Recent form favors Brighton's confidence and control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.40 ✓ Cashed
AI 74% Implied 71% +0.40u
+40%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SUN 4-2-3-1 · BRI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · SUN
34' Fofana ↑ · Meunier ↓
73' Methalie ↑ · Mandava ↓
73' Bi ↑ · Angulo ↓
81' Angulo ↑ · Fée ↓
Subs used · BRI
60' Dunk ↑ · Kostoulas ↓
68' Costinha ↑ · Boscagli ↓
68' Yalcouyé ↑ · Cuyper ↓
88' Hadjam ↑ · Gomez ↓
88' Rutter ↑ · Ayari ↓

Statistics

SUN 0 – 2 BRI
62%
Possession (%)
38%
0.68
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.14
12
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
7
4
Shots Inside Box
6
7
Corner Kicks
5
5
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
12
0
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

13 · 0 – 2
Malick Fofana ↓ · Thomas Meunier ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
34'
36'
▮
Olivier Boscagli
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
53'
⚽
Maxim De Cuyper
Assist · Pascal Groß · 0–1
57'
▮
Pascal Struijk
Red Card
60'
⇄
Lewis Dunk ↓ · Charalampos Kostoulas ↑
Substitution 1
68'
⇄
Costinha ↓ · Olivier Boscagli ↑
Substitution 2
68'
⇄
Malick Yalcouyé ↓ · Maxim De Cuyper ↑
Substitution 3
Dayann Methalie ↓ · Reinildo Isnard Mandava ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
Djiamgone Jocelin Ta Bi ↓ · Nilson Angulo ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
Juan Riquelme Angulo ↓ · Enzo Le Fée ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
81'
88'
⇄
Jaouen Hadjam ↓ · Diego Gomez ↑
Substitution 4
88'
⇄
Georginio Rutter ↓ · Yasin Ayari ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
⚽
Jaouen Hadjam
Assist · Georginio Rutter · 0–2
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Brighton won 2–0 away at Sunderland. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball.

On the scoresheet: Maxim De Cuyper (53'), Jaouen Hadjam (90+3'). Pascal Struijk was sent off in the 57' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.85 units (Brier 0.146).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.48 2.27 47% Cashed +1.48 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.91 1.80 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.08 2.17 46% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.91 2.00 49% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.69 1.64 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.67 1.69 50% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Home Win 2.80 3.13 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.06 2.25 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.40 1.36 74% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.53 1.58 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 1.02 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.24 3.00 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.25 1.22 75% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.32 1.36 71% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.60 4.00 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.35 3.40 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 12.05 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.85u −23% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
SUN – BRI @ 1.40
+3.2%
Edge
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