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Home › England › Premier League › Fulham — Manchester United

Predictions by Market: Fulham vs Manchester United

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Fulham
Fulham
Home · last 5 L L D D L
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 15:30
1:1
Full-time
Manchester United
Manchester United
W D L D D Away · last 5
Craven Cottage · London Referee Peter Bankes

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FUL
29%
Best 3.58
Draw
25%
Best 3.90
Away Win · MUN
46%
Best 2.08
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.50
Fair odds
3.42
book 3.50 · +2.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 29% · EV +2.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (46%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.79
Show model details
Implied probability 26.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.5%
Odds 4.93
Show model details
Implied probability 20.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.8%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 66%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 29.2%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
FUL – MUN @ 3.50
+2.2%
Edge
Forecast →