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Home › England › Premier League › Fulham — Manchester United

Fulham vs Manchester United 1:1: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Fulham
Fulham
Home · last 5 L L D D L
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 15:30
1:1
Full-time
Manchester United
Manchester United
W D L D D Away · last 5
Craven Cottage · London Referee Peter Bankes
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 54% · book 1.82 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 41% · book 2.36 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 38% · book 2.47 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.50 — +2.2% better than the market.

Fulham hosts Manchester United at Craven Cottage with the visitors showing better recent form and higher scoring potential. Manchester United’s away momentum and sharper attack contrast with Fulham’s struggles to find consistency and goals. The match hints at a lively pace given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, suggesting open play and pressing from both sides.

  • Manchester United’s superior form and goal threat
  • Fulham’s home resilience but limited scoring
  • Potential for an open, attacking game with goals expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.50 ✗ Lost
AI 29% Implied 29% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

FUL 4-2-3-1 · MUN 4-2-3-1
Subs used · FUL
71' Macedo ↑ · Bobb ↓
71' Perez ↑ · Iwobi ↓
77' Larsson ↑ · Berge ↓
80' Muniz ↑ · García ↓
80' Andersen ↑ · King ↓
Subs used · MUN
77' Zirkzee ↑ · Rashford ↓
80' Mount ↑ · Mainoo ↓
84' Dorgu ↑ · Shaw ↓

Statistics

FUL 1 – 1 MUN
43%
Possession (%)
57%
12
Total Shots
29
6
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots off Target
10
11
Shots Inside Box
17
3
Corner Kicks
13
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
5
3
Yellow Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

13 · 1 – 1
Josh King
Yellow Card
▮
45'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Timothy Castagne
Yellow Card
▮
50'
Lisandro Martínez
Own goal · 1–0
⚽
63'
Kevin Santos Lopes de Macedo ↓ · Oscar Bobb ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
71'
Cesar Palacios Perez ↓ · Alex Iwobi ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
71'
Hugo Larsson ↓ · Sander Berge ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
77'
⇄
Joshua Zirkzee ↓ · Marcus Rashford ↑
Substitution 1
Rodrigo Muniz ↓ · Gonzalo García ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
80'
Joachim Andersen ↓ · Josh King ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
80'
80'
⇄
Mason Mount ↓ · Kobbie Mainoo ↑
Substitution 2
84'
⇄
Patrick Dorgu ↓ · Luke Shaw ↑
Substitution 3
Rodrigo Muniz
Yellow Card
▮
85'
89'
⚽
Matheus Cunha
Assist · Patrick Dorgu · 1–1
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Fulham and Manchester United drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 29 shots to 12, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 13 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Lisandro Martínez (63'), Matheus Cunha (89').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.45 units (Brier 0.173).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.82 1.80 54% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.36 2.30 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.47 2.53 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.98 2.00 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.40 2.39 38% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.69 2.67 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.57 1.52 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.52 1.46 62% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.29 1.29 71% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.55 1.62 59% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.51 1.51 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.50 3.50 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 95% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.16 1.13 82% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Draw 3.79 3.85 24% Cashed +2.79 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.93 5.00 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 17.54 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.45u −14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
FUL – MUN @ 3.50
+2.2%
Edge
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