P
Prognosist
P
Home › England › Premier League › Brighton — Arsenal

Predictions by Market: Brighton vs Arsenal

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 L D W W W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 14:00
3:0
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W W W L W Away · last 5
American Express Stadium · Falmer Referee Darren England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BRI
28%
Best 5.00
Draw
25%
Best 4.12
Away Win · ARS
48%
Best 1.77
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.80
Fair odds
1.60
book 1.80 · +12.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 62% · EV +12.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 47.5%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 28%
Odds 4.42
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62.4%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37.6%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.94
Show model details
Implied probability 34%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 82.1%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.9%
Odds 3.82
Show model details
Implied probability 26.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 28%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 47.5%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 52.5%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
BRI – ARS @ 1.80
+12.3%
Edge
Forecast →