Brentford vs Chelsea 3:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.26 — +9.0% better than the market.

Brentford arrives with solid home momentum, showing resilience in recent draws and a slight edge in points per game. Chelsea’s form hints at a recovering side, but Brentford’s compact block and pressing could disrupt their rhythm. The match likely leans towards a balanced contest with moderate goal potential, as both teams have shown defensive discipline. Expect tactical battles in midfield and cautious attacking phases.

Brentford’s home steadiness vs Chelsea’s improving form
Midfield pressing and compact defensive setups
Moderate pace suggested by goal odds, favoring a controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.26 ✗ Lost

AI 48% Implied 44% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · CHE 3-4-2-1

BRE · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · CHE

9 Thiago ⚽

Subs used · BRE

69'

Hickey ↑ ·

Kayode ↓

69'

Sangare ↑ ·

Yarmoliuk ↓

81'

Ouattara ↑ ·

Anthony ↓

81'

Diouf ↑ ·

Lewis-Potter ↓

87'

Carvalho ↑ ·

Damsgaard ↓

Subs used · CHE

71'

Quenda ↑ ·

Welbeck ↓

71'

Acheampong ↑ ·

Fofana ↓

87'

Nicoll-Jazuli ↑ ·

Barco ↓

87'

Gonçalves ↑ ·

Neto ↓

Statistics

BRE 3 – 0 CHE

40%

Possession (%)

60%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 3 – 0

Half-time · 0 – 0

Jaidon Anthony

Assist · Jannik Schuster · 1–0

⚽

61'

Aaron Hickey ↓ · Michael Kayode ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

69'

Mamadou Sangare ↓ · Yehor Yarmoliuk ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

71'

⇄

Geovany Quenda ↓ · Danny Welbeck ↑

Substitution 1

71'

⇄

Josh Acheampong ↓ · Wesley Fofana ↑

Substitution 2

Dango Ouattara ↓ · Jaidon Anthony ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

81'

El Hadji Malick Diouf ↓ · Keane Lewis-Potter ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

Igor Thiago

2–0

⚽

83'

Igor Thiago

Yellow Card

▮

84'

Mamadou Sangare

Yellow Card

▮

85'

87'

⇄

Mahdi Nicoll-Jazuli ↓ · Valentin Barco ↑

Substitution 3

87'

⇄

Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves ↓ · Pedro Neto ↑

Substitution 4

Fabio Carvalho ↓ · Mikkel Damsgaard ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

Fabio Carvalho

3–0

⚽

90+4'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Brentford beat Chelsea 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 12 to 4.

On the scoresheet: Jaidon Anthony (61'), Igor Thiago (83'), Fabio Carvalho (90+4').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.66 units (Brier 0.205).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.26	2.20	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.69	1.67	52%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
Away Win	2.28	2.55	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.66	2.73	32%	Cashed	+1.66	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.95	1.95	30%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.55	2.62	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.95	1.95	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.60	1.52	62%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.40	1.44	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.84	2.58	37%	Cashed	+1.84	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.46	1.47	69%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.43	1.40	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	96%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	1.11	86%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Draw	3.70	3.75	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.38	5.49	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	16.95	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.66u	−16% ROI

Brentford vs Chelsea 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled