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Home › England › Premier League › Arsenal — Chelsea

Predictions by Market: Arsenal vs Chelsea

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Arsenal
Arsenal
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 06 Sep · 15:30
2:1
Full-time
Chelsea
Chelsea
W L D L W Away · last 5
Emirates Stadium · London Referee C. Kavanagh

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ARS
53%
Best 1.76
Draw
25%
Best 4.01
Away Win · CHE
22%
Best 5.07
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 1.75
Fair odds
1.54
book 1.75 · +13.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 65% · EV +13.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 21.9%
Odds 4.88
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35.3%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 45.4%
Odds 2.92
Show model details
Implied probability 34.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5 Top pick
Probability 84.9%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.1%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 35.3%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 21.9%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
ARS – CHE @ 1.75
+13.3%
Edge
Forecast →