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Home › England › Premier League › Fulham — Crystal Palace

Fulham vs Crystal Palace 2:3: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Fulham
Fulham
Home · last 5 L L D D L
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 14:00
2:3
Full-time
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
L L W L D Away · last 5
Craven Cottage · London Referee S. Barrott
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.91 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 57% · book 1.67 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.11 ✗
Total goals
5
2 · 3
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.05 — +2.4% better than the market.

Fulham and Crystal Palace both enter this clash struggling for form, with neither side securing points recently. The home side's lack of momentum contrasts with Palace's slightly better recent performances, suggesting a tight contest. Expect a cautious tempo given the balanced odds on goals, with both teams likely to focus on defensive solidity.

  • Fulham's home ground could offer a slight edge despite poor form
  • Crystal Palace's marginally better recent results hint at resilience
  • Balanced goal odds suggest a measured pace and compact defensive setups

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.05 ✓ Cashed
AI 34% Implied 33% +2.05u
+205%
ROI on stake

Lineups

FUL 4-2-3-1 · CRY 3-4-2-1
Subs used · FUL
62' Berge ↑ · Perez ↓
79' Sessegnon ↑ · Robinson ↓
79' Larsson ↑ · Bobb ↓
79' Rowe ↑ · Charles ↓
83' Muniz ↑ · Iwobi ↓
Subs used · CRY
45' Larsen ↑ · Nketiah ↓
74' Hughes ↑ · Timber ↓
74' Chilwell ↑ · Mitchell ↓
89' Mingueza ↑ · Pino ↓
89' Osorio ↑ · Kamada ↓

Statistics

FUL 2 – 3 CRY
64%
Possession (%)
36%
24
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
5
10
Shots off Target
3
21
Shots Inside Box
7
7
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
6
6
Fouls
7
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

15 · 2 – 3
Josh King
1–0
⚽
11'
35'
⚽
Tyrick Mitchell
Assist · Eddie Nketiah · 1–1
Cesar Palacios Perez
2–1
⚽
42'
45'
⇄
Jörgen Strand Larsen ↓ · Eddie Nketiah ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 2 – 1
54'
⚽
Tyrick Mitchell
2–2
Sander Berge ↓ · Cesar Palacios Perez ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
74'
⇄
Will Hughes ↓ · Quinten Timber ↑
Substitution 2
74'
⇄
Ben Chilwell ↓ · Tyrick Mitchell ↑
Substitution 3
77'
⚽
Ben Chilwell
Assist · Daichi Kamada · 2–3
Ryan Sessegnon ↓ · Antonee Robinson ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
79'
Hugo Larsson ↓ · Oscar Bobb ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
79'
Emile Smith Rowe ↓ · Shea Charles ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
Rodrigo Muniz ↓ · Alex Iwobi ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
89'
⇄
Oscar Mingueza ↓ · Yeremy Pino ↑
Substitution 4
89'
⇄
Dario Osorio ↓ · Daichi Kamada ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 3

Match recap

Crystal Palace won 3–2 away at Fulham. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 10, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

On the scoresheet: Josh King (11'), Tyrick Mitchell (35'), Cesar Palacios Perez (42'), Tyrick Mitchell (54'), Ben Chilwell (77').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -0.13 units (Brier 0.248).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.91 1.91 53% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 1.69 57% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 2.11 2.10 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.28 2.27 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.91 1.91 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.28 2.34 34% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.67 1.64 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.60 1.59 60% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Away Win 3.05 3.25 34% Cashed +2.05 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.09 3.14 32% Cashed +2.09 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.36 1.35 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.27 1.28 76% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.35 1.33 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.30 3.34 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.62 3.70 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −0.13u −1% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
FUL – CRY @ 3.05
+2.4%
Edge
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