Match Fulham vs Chelsea August 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.75 — +10.5% better than the market.

With limited recent form data, this Premier League opener at Craven Cottage hints at a balanced contest. Chelsea may hold a slight edge given their historical stature, but Fulham's home comfort could neutralize that advantage. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a tendency towards goals, indicating both sides might press forward actively.

Home side's familiarity with the pitch offers a tactical edge.
Chelsea's experience could influence midfield battles.
Market odds favor a lively match with over 2.5 goals likely.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.75 ✗ Lost

AI 29% Implied 27% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FUL 4-2-3-1 · CHE 3-4-3

FUL · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · CHE

7 García ⚽

Subs used · FUL

67'

Charles ↑ ·

Bobb ↓

73'

Kevin ↑ ·

Palacios ↓

73'

Sessegnon ↑ ·

Berge ↓

82'

Muniz ↑ ·

Robinson ↓

Subs used · CHE

65'

Fernandez ↑ ·

Lavia ↓

65'

Chavarria ↑ ·

Hato ↓

76'

Neto ↑ ·

Gusto ↓

82'

Quenda ↑ ·

Rogers ↓

83'

Estevao ↑ ·

Palmer ↓

📊 Statistics

FUL 2 – 3 CHE

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.35

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.70

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 2 – 3

⚽

Joao Pedro

Assist · C. Palmer · 0–1

▮

L. Colwill

Yellow Card

12'

▮

R. Lavia

Yellow Card

J. King

Assist · T. Castagne · 1–1

⚽

23'

41'

⚽

M. Rogers

Assist · M. Lacroix · 1–2

Half-time · 1 – 2

49'

⚽

C. Palmer

Assist · Joao Pedro · 1–3

G. Garcia

2–3

⚽

54'

65'

⇄

E. Fernandez ↓ · R. Lavia ↑

Substitution 1

65'

⇄

P. Chavarria ↓ · J. Hato ↑

Substitution 2

S. Charles ↓ · O. Bobb ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

Kevin ↓ · C. Palacios ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

R. Sessegnon ↓ · S. Berge ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

75'

▮

R. James

Yellow Card

76'

⇄

P. Neto ↓ · M. Gusto ↑

Substitution 3

C. Bassey

Yellow Card

▮

76'

Rodrigo Muniz ↓ · A. Robinson ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

⇄

G. Quenda ↓ · M. Rogers ↑

Substitution 4

83'

⇄

Estevao ↓ · C. Palmer ↑

Substitution 5

T. Castagne

Yellow Card

▮

88'

Full-time · 2 – 3

Match recap

Chelsea won 3–2 away at Fulham. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 14, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Joao Pedro (1'), J. King (23'), M. Rogers (41'), C. Palmer (49'), G. Garcia (54').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -3.43 units (Brier 0.187).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.87	1.91	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.62	1.75	59%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.30	2.10	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.35	2.14	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.51	2.85	37%	Cashed	+1.51	Cashed
Away Win	1.93	1.88	46%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.78	3.06	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.56	1.67	60%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.36	1.36	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.75	4.05	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.48	1.41	46%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	1.22	79%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.48	4.00	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.73	3.75	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.29	1.23	71%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−3.43u	−23% ROI