Match Brentford vs Tottenham August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.35 — +2.8% better than the market.

With limited recent form data, this Premier League opener between Brentford and Tottenham hints at a moderately open game. The odds favor a lively pace with over 2.5 goals likely, suggesting both sides may push forward early. Brentford’s home familiarity could offer a slight edge, but Tottenham’s quality and attacking potential might balance the scales.

Home momentum could spark Brentford’s pressing game.
Tottenham’s offensive threat may challenge Brentford’s defense.
Expect a balanced tempo with chances at both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.35 ✗ Lost

AI 31% Implied 30% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · TOT 4-3-2-1

BRE · 4-2-3-1 4-3-2-1 · TOT

9 Thiago ⚽

Subs used · BRE

67'

Yarmolyuk ↑ ·

Jensen ↓

67'

Anthony ↑ ·

Ouattara ↓

76'

Damsgaard ↑ ·

Sangare ↓

76'

Hickey ↑ ·

Kayode ↓

83'

Wilson ↑ ·

Thiago ↓

Subs used · TOT

46'

Fernandes ↑ ·

Gallagher ↓

46'

Bentancur ↑ ·

Bergvall ↓

68'

Maddison ↑ ·

Moore ↓

68'

Solanke ↑ ·

Richarlison ↓

86'

Udogie ↑ ·

Gray ↓

📊 Statistics

BRE 3 – 0 TOT

41%

Possession (%)

59%

3.96

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.47

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 3 – 0

K. Lewis-Potter

Assist · M. Sangare · 1–0

⚽

12'

V. Janelt

2–0

⚽

33'

34'

▮

C. Gallagher

Yellow Card

Half-time · 2 – 0

46'

⇄

M. Fernandes ↓ · C. Gallagher ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

R. Bentancur ↓ · L. Bergvall ↑

Substitution 2

M. Kayode

3–0

⚽

49'

I. Thiago (P)

Penalty · Assist · I. Thiago · 4–0

⚽

55'

Y. Yarmolyuk ↓ · M. Jensen ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

J. Anthony ↓ · D. Ouattara ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

68'

⇄

J. Maddison ↓ · M. Moore ↑

Substitution 3

68'

⇄

D. Solanke ↓ · Richarlison ↑

Substitution 4

M. Damsgaard ↓ · M. Sangare ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

A. Hickey ↓ · M. Kayode ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

V. Janelt

Yellow Card

▮

78'

C. Wilson ↓ · I. Thiago ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

86'

⇄

D. Udogie ↓ · A. Gray ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Brentford beat Tottenham 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.96 to 0.47. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 9, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3.

On the scoresheet: K. Lewis-Potter (12'), V. Janelt (33'), M. Kayode (49').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.18 units (Brier 0.162).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.62	1.70	59%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.30	2.20	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.10	2.12	44%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.57	2.62	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.39	2.29	39%	Cashed	+1.39	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.59	1.59	44%	Cashed	+0.59	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.45	2.43	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.35	3.25	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.73	1.72	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.48	1.45	63%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.42	1.33	66%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.53	1.57	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	1.03	93%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	12.99	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.19	1.20	79%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.38	4.50	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.50	3.73	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.18u	−25% ROI