Match Nottingham Forest vs Leeds August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

With limited recent form and strength data, this Premier League opener between Nottingham Forest and Leeds looks finely balanced. The even odds on over/under 2.5 goals suggest a moderate tempo, hinting at a tactical battle rather than a goal-fest. Nottingham Forest may leverage home familiarity, while Leeds could rely on counter-attacks and set-piece opportunities to challenge the home side's defense.

Home advantage could provide Nottingham Forest a slight edge in pressing and control.
Leeds might exploit transitions and aerial threats to unsettle the hosts.
Expect a cautious start with both sides probing for weaknesses.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NOT 3-4-2-1

NOT · 3-4-2-1

11 Jesus

Subs used · NOT

62'

Wood ↑ ·

Ndoye ↓

74'

Netz ↑ ·

Aina ↓

74'

Schlager ↑ ·

McAtee ↓

90+3'

Kalimuendo ↑ ·

Murillo ↓

Subs used · LEE

66'

Okafor ↑ ·

Wilson ↓

82'

Longstaff ↑ ·

Aaronson ↓

📊 Statistics

NOT 0 – 1 LEE

55%

Possession (%)

45%

0.65

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.49

12

Total Shots

11

2

Shots on Target

3

8

Shots off Target

2

6

Shots Inside Box

6

3

Corner Kicks

2

3

Offsides

3

15

Fouls

14

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

2

Yellow Cards

1

2

Goalkeeper Saves

3

⏱ Match events

10 · 0 – 1

O. Aina

Yellow Card

▮

18'

32'

▮

D. Calvert-Lewin

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

Cunha

Yellow Card

▮

52'

C. Wood ↓ · D. Ndoye ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

66'

⇄

N. Okafor ↓ · H. Wilson ↑

Substitution 1

L. Netz ↓ · O. Aina ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

X. Schlager ↓ · J. McAtee ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

82'

⇄

S. Longstaff ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑

Substitution 2

88'

⚽

A. Stach

0–1

A. Kalimuendo ↓ · Murillo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+3'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Leeds won 1–0 away at Nottingham Forest. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Stach (88').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.03 units (Brier 0.257).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.65	1.58	58%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.91	2.10	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.91	1.75	50%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Home Win	2.25	2.33	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.72	1.80	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.06	1.95	45%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.30	2.25	32%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.66	1.69	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.15	3.17	32%	Cashed	+2.15	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.32	1.28	71%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.27	3.70	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	1.33	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.62	3.30	26%	Cashed	+2.62	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	1.06	92%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	9.01	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.35	1.36	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.40	3.30	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.03u	+0% ROI