🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward France to win — 71% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams not to score 65%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
France enters this World Cup qualifier with clear offensive momentum, boasting a strong scoring record and high shot volume compared to Paraguay's more conservative approach. Paraguay's solid defensive shape and clean sheet frequency suggest a compact block that could frustrate France's attacking rhythm. The neutral venue levels the playing field, but France's sharper form and pressing edge hint at a likely control of the match tempo.
- France's potent attack faces a disciplined Paraguayan defense.
- Paraguay's home momentum is steady but less explosive.
- Expect a tactical battle with France pressing high and Paraguay compact.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 71% | France win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 50% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 65% | No |
| Double Chance | 87% | X2 |
- 1X2 France win 71%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50%
- BTTS No 65%
- Double Chance X2 87%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Paraguay
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
5 / 6
Avg goals / match
2.2
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
xG (for / against)
0.42 / 1.62
France
W/D/L
5-0-0
Goals (for / against)
16 / 3
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
xG (for / against)
2.08 / 0.95
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
🌍 Qualification form
Statistics based on recent World Cup qualification matches.
W
D
L
W
D
Matches18
Goals for / against14 / 10
Goals for / match0.78
Goals against / match0.56
Clean sheets55.6%
Both teams to score22.2%
Over 1.5 goals27.8%
Over 2.5 goals22.2%
Avg corners4.4
Avg shots11.0
Avg shots on target3.7
Sources: CONMEBOL World Cup Qualification
W
W
D
W
W
Matches6
Goals for / against16 / 4
Goals for / match2.67
Goals against / match0.67
Clean sheets50.0%
Both teams to score50.0%
Over 1.5 goals100.0%
Over 2.5 goals83.3%
xG for / match2.71
xG against / match1.01
Avg corners6.8
Avg shots21.7
Avg shots on target7.7
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Paraguay wins when scoring first
50%
①
France wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Paraguay BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
France BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Paraguay Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
↑
France Over 2.5 · last 10
100%
↩
Paraguay comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
France comeback rate · last 10
—
🔥 Goal timing
Paraguay · last 1 at home
0–15
0%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
0%
France · last 1 away
0–15
25%
16–30
25%
31–45
25%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
25%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.
