Match Colombia vs Ghana July 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Colombia and Ghana meet in a neutral setting with contrasting defensive records shaping the outlook. Colombia’s solid home momentum and balanced attack face Ghana’s stingy defense and clinical finishing, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. Both sides show disciplined form, but Ghana’s higher clean sheet rate hints at a compact block that could frustrate Colombia’s creative efforts.

Colombia’s steady home form and set-piece threat
Ghana’s defensive resilience and efficient counterattacks
Moderate pace expected, favoring cautious buildup

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

COL 4-3-3 · GHA 4-1-4-1

COL · 4-3-3 4-1-4-1 · GHA

7 Díaz

Subs used · COL

Suarez ↑ ·

Cordoba ↓

46'

Rios ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

73'

Quintero ↑ ·

Arias ↓

90'

Campaz ↑ ·

Diaz ↓

Subs used · GHA

13'

Seidu ↑ ·

Senaya ↓

62'

Fatawu ↑ ·

Williams ↓

62'

Owusu ↑ ·

Sibo ↓

79'

Nuamah ↑ ·

Ayew ↓

79'

Adu ↑ ·

Yirenkyi ↓

📊 Statistics

COL 1 – 0 GHA

60%

Possession (%)

40%

2.09

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.26

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 0

L. Suarez ↓ · J. Cordoba ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

J. Arias

Yellow Card

▮

12'

13'

⇄

A. Seidu ↓ · M. Senaya ↑

Substitution 1

J. Arias

Assist · L. Suarez · 1–0

⚽

14'

Half-time · 1 – 0

R. Rios ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

49'

▮

C. Yirenkyi

Yellow Card

62'

⇄

I. Fatawu ↓ · I. Williams ↑

Substitution 2

62'

⇄

E. Owusu ↓ · K. Sibo ↑

Substitution 3

66'

▮

I. Fatawu

Yellow Card

J. Quintero ↓ · J. Arias ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

76'

▮

A. Seidu

Yellow Card

R. Rios

Yellow Card

▮

78'

79'

⇄

E. Nuamah ↓ · J. Ayew ↑

Substitution 4

79'

⇄

P. Adu ↓ · C. Yirenkyi ↑

Substitution 5

J. Campaz ↓ · L. Diaz ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Colombia beat Ghana 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.09 to 0.26. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 8, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Arias (14').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.86 units (Brier 0.124).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.62	1.55	64%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.75	2.78	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.42	1.41	61%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.07	2.07	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.20	2.27	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.83	3.30	37%	Cashed	+1.83	Cashed
Away Win	6.38	8.47	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.73	1.80	61%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.12	1.08	81%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	1.33	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.26	1.28	80%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.10	9.01	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	1.05	87%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.60	4.37	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.58	6.10	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.50	3.70	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.10	1.10	61%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.86u	−29% ROI