Match USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina July 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.25 — +9.4% better than the market.

With no recent form data for the USA and Bosnia & Herzegovina showing a steady but cautious run in qualifiers, this match hints at a balanced contest. Bosnia’s solid defensive record and decent attacking threat suggest a tactical battle with limited clear chances. The neutral venue and moderate pace odds point to a compact game where set-pieces and disciplined defending could be decisive.

Bosnia’s defensive resilience vs USA’s unknown form
Neutral ground leveling home advantage
Likely a tight, low-to-medium tempo affair

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.25 ✓ Cashed

AI 49% Implied 44% +1.25u

+125%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

USA 4-2-3-1 · BOS 3-4-1-2

USA · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · BOS

20 Balogun ⚽

Subs used · USA

87'

Berhalter ↑ ·

Dest ↓

88'

Pepi ↑ ·

Pulisic ↓

90+5'

Reyna ↑ ·

McKennie ↓

Subs used · BOS

51'

Bajraktarevic ↑ ·

Gigovic ↓

51'

Tahirovic ↑ ·

Sunjic ↓

51'

Mahmic ↑ ·

Dzeko ↓

75'

Tabakovic ↑ ·

Kolasinac ↓

75'

Memic ↑ ·

Katic ↓

📊 Statistics

USA 2 – 0 BOS

48%

Possession (%)

52%

0.92

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.25

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 2 – 0

F. Balogun

1–0

⚽

45'

Half-time · 1 – 0

51'

⇄

E. Bajraktarevic ↓ · A. Gigovic ↑

Substitution 1

51'

⇄

B. Tahirovic ↓ · I. Sunjic ↑

Substitution 2

51'

⇄

E. Mahmic ↓ · E. Dzeko ↑

Substitution 3

F. Balogun

Red Card

▮

64'

75'

⇄

H. Tabakovic ↓ · S. Kolasinac ↑

Substitution 4

75'

⇄

A. Memic ↓ · N. Katic ↑

Substitution 5

80'

▮

S. Barbarez

Yellow Card

80'

▮

S. Radeljic

Yellow Card

M. Tillman

2–0

⚽

82'

S. Berhalter ↓ · S. Dest ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

87'

R. Pepi ↓ · C. Pulisic ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

88'

G. Reyna ↓ · W. McKennie ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+5'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

USA beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 0.92 to 0.25.

On the scoresheet: F. Balogun (45'), M. Tillman (82'). F. Balogun was sent off in the 64' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.65 units (Brier 0.103).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.25	2.25	49%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.93	1.93	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.86	1.86	53%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.80	1.67	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.10	3.10	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	8.90	8.47	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.08	1.08	85%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Home Win	1.36	1.36	65%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	2.62	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.10	1.10	65%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	5.00	5.00	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	4.50	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.45	6.41	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.45	1.45	70%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	1.02	92%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	12.99	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	1.18	73%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.65u	−33% ROI