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Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland 1:0: Match Review & Stats

World   /   UEFA Nations League Value pick inside
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Home · last 5 D W D W
Kick-off
Mon 05 Oct · 18:45
1:0
Full-time
Poland
Poland
D L W L Away · last 5
Stadion Bilino Polje · Zenica Referee Jeremie Pignard
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.90 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 2.05 ✓
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 59% · book 1.75 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
6 / 13
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.05 — +14.9% better than the market.

Bosnia & Herzegovina host Poland in a UEFA Nations League clash where both sides show signs of cautious play. Recent form suggests a slight edge for Bosnia at home, supported by their steady points per game and a compact defensive approach. Poland’s away momentum is less convincing, hinting at a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances.

  • Home side’s resilience and stable form
  • Poland’s less effective away outings
  • Odds favor a tight, low-scoring encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.05 ✓ Cashed
AI 56% Implied 49% +1.05u
+105%
ROI on stake

Statistics

BIH 1 – 0 POL
44%
Possession (%)
56%
9
Total Shots
18
1
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
7
5
Shots Inside Box
10
2
Corner Kicks
8
4
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
7
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Bosnia & Herzegovina beat Poland 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 9, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 6 landed and 7 missed, for a net +0.96 units (Brier 0.221).

Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 6 W · 7 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.90 — 61% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 — 56% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.75 — 59% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Away Win 2.18 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.98 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.50 — 37% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Home Win 3.46 — 32% Cashed +2.46 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.30 — 82% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.34 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.54 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 7 L +0.96u +7% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
BIH – POL @ 2.05
+14.9%
Edge
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