🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 58% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 57%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Belgium shows strong home momentum with a high scoring rate and solid chance creation, but Senegal's perfect recent form and defensive resilience suggest a tight contest. Belgium's attacking edge meets Senegal's compact block and disciplined defense, promising tactical intrigue.
- Belgium's prolific offense faces Senegal's sturdy backline.
- Senegal's unbeaten streak signals confidence and cohesion.
- Neutral venue may level the playing field, favoring tactical discipline.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 44% | Belgium win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 57% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 58% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 72% | 1X |
- 1X2 Belgium win 44%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57%
- BTTS Yes 58%
- Double Chance 1X 72%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Belgium
W/D/L
2-3-0
Goals (for / against)
12 / 3
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
xG (for / against)
2.24 / 0.65
Senegal
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
10 / 9
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
xG (for / against)
1.74 / 1.39
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
🌍 Qualification form
Statistics based on recent World Cup qualification matches.
W
D
W
D
W
Matches8
Goals for / against29 / 7
Goals for / match3.63
Goals against / match0.88
Clean sheets50.0%
Both teams to score50.0%
Over 1.5 goals87.5%
Over 2.5 goals62.5%
xG for / match2.95
xG against / match0.97
Avg corners10.4
Avg shots22.3
Avg shots on target8.0
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification
W
W
W
W
W
Matches10
Goals for / against22 / 3
Goals for / match2.20
Goals against / match0.30
Clean sheets80.0%
Both teams to score20.0%
Over 1.5 goals70.0%
Over 2.5 goals40.0%
Sources: CAF World Cup Qualification
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Belgium wins when scoring first
100%
①
Senegal wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Belgium BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Senegal BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Belgium Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Senegal Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Belgium comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Senegal comeback rate · last 10
33%
