Match Netherlands vs Morocco June 30, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.91 — +10.4% better than the market.

Netherlands enter this World Cup clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record and clinical finishing in qualifiers. Their high pressing and set-piece threat contrast with Morocco's disciplined defense and efficient counterattacks. Both sides show attacking intent, suggesting a lively game with goals likely.

Netherlands' compact block and quick transitions
Morocco's resilience and clean sheet tendency
Balanced pace hinting at open play and scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.91 ✓ Cashed

AI 58% Implied 52% +0.91u

+91%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

NET 3-4-2-1 · MAR 4-2-3-1

NET · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · MAR

19 Brobbey

Subs used · NET

71'

Koopmeiners ↑ ·

Ake ↓

71'

Weghorst ↑ ·

Brobbey ↓

86'

Hato ↑ ·

van de Ven ↓

86'

Timber ↑ ·

Gravenberch ↓

110'

De Roon ↑ ·

de Jong ↓

113'

Kluivert ↑ ·

Gakpo ↓

Subs used · MAR

75'

Salah-Eddine ↑ ·

Riad ↓

79'

Yassine ↑ ·

Diaz ↓

79'

El Mourabet ↑ ·

Bouaddi ↓

86'

Rahimi ↑ ·

Ounahi ↓

87'

Talbi ↑ ·

El Khannouss ↓

📊 Statistics

NET 1 – 1 MAR

30%

Possession (%)

70%

0.23

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.40

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

91%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 1 – 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

47'

▮

I. Diop

Yellow Card

T. Koopmeiners ↓ · N. Ake ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

W. Weghorst ↓ · B. Brobbey ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

C. Gakpo

Assist · C. Summerville · 1–0

⚽

72'

75'

⇄

A. Salah-Eddine ↓ · C. Riad ↑

Substitution 1

79'

⇄

G. Yassine ↓ · B. Diaz ↑

Substitution 2

79'

⇄

S. El Mourabet ↓ · A. Bouaddi ↑

Substitution 3

86'

⇄

S. Rahimi ↓ · A. Ounahi ↑

Substitution 4

J. Hato ↓ · M. van de Ven ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

86'

Q. Timber ↓ · R. Gravenberch ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

87'

⇄

C. Talbi ↓ · B. El Khannouss ↑

Substitution 5

90+1'

⚽

I. Diop

Assist · C. Talbi · 1–1

M. De Roon ↓ · F. de Jong ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

110'

J. Kluivert ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑

Substitution 6

⇄

113'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Netherlands and Morocco drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.40 to 0.23. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 6, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

On the scoresheet: C. Gakpo (72'), I. Diop (90+1').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.68 units (Brier 0.153).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.91	1.91	58%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.20	2.20	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.15	2.39	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.69	1.56	55%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
BTTS No	1.87	1.91	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.67	1.67	46%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.33	2.33	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.00	4.00	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.36	1.37	78%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.27	1.33	73%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Draw	3.15	3.05	28%	Cashed	+2.15	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.10	3.00	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.62	1.62	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.85	3.31	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.05	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.22	1.22	65%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	8.00	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.68u	−22% ROI