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Home › England › Premier League › Nottingham Forest — Brighton

Nottingham Forest vs Brighton 0:2: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 14:05
0:2
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Wembley Stadium · London Referee Michael Oliver, England
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 46% · book 2.66 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.96 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 57% · book 1.73 ✗
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.71 – 1.53
Δ −0.82
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.49 — +8.2% better than the market.

Brighton enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a pressing style that challenges Nottingham Forest's defense. Despite Forest's solid home form and compact block, Brighton's sharper attack and defensive resilience suggest they can control the game tempo. The home side's recent momentum is notable, but Brighton's ability to exploit set-pieces and maintain possession could tilt the balance.

  • Brighton's offensive threat vs Forest's defense
  • Home momentum and compact defensive shape
  • Balanced pace hinting at a tactical midfield battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.49 ✓ Cashed
AI 73% Implied 67% +0.49u
+49%
ROI on stake

Lineups

NOT 4-2-3-1 · BRI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · NOT
46' Hudson-Odoi ↑ · Dominguez ↓
46' Hutchinson ↑ · Ndoye ↓
74' Yates ↑ · Sangare ↓
75' Kalimuendo ↑ · Jesus ↓
85' McAtee ↑ · Gibbs-White ↓
Subs used · BRI
56' Hinshelwood ↑ · Rutter ↓
65' Tzimas ↑ · Welbeck ↓
84' Gruda ↑ · Minteh ↓
84' Baleba ↑ · De Cuyper ↓
84' Veltman ↑ · Gomez ↓

Statistics

NOT 0 – 2 BRI
51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.71
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.53
19
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
5
13
Shots Inside Box
11
9
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
10
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
0
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

13 · 0 – 2
44'
▮
Mats Wieffer
Yellow Card
45'
⚽
M. De Cuyper
0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
C. Hudson-Odoi ↓ · N. Dominguez ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
O. Hutchinson ↓ · D. Ndoye ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
56'
⇄
J. Hinshelwood ↓ · G. Rutter ↑
Substitution 1
65'
⇄
S. Tzimas ↓ · D. Welbeck ↑
Substitution 2
R. Yates ↓ · I. Sangare ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
74'
A. Kalimuendo ↓ · Igor Jesus ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
75'
84'
⇄
B. Gruda ↓ · Y. Minteh ↑
Substitution 3
84'
⇄
C. Baleba ↓ · M. De Cuyper ↑
Substitution 4
84'
⇄
J. Veltman ↓ · D. Gomez ↑
Substitution 5
J. McAtee ↓ · M. Gibbs-White ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
88'
⚽
S. Tzimas
0–2
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Brighton won 2–0 away at Nottingham Forest. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.53 to 0.71. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 2.

On the scoresheet: M. De Cuyper (45'), S. Tzimas (88').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.96 units (Brier 0.158).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.66 — 46% Cashed +1.66 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.96 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.73 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.23 — 43% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.98 — 47% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.92 — 46% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.04 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.49 — 73% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.30 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.55 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.84 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.31 — 77% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 — 93% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.38 — 68% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Draw 3.50 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.10 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.96u −17% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
NOT – BRI @ 1.49
+8.2%
Edge
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