Match West Ham vs Liverpool November 30, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.67 — +11.3% better than the market.

Liverpool enter this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, despite West Ham's home comfort at London Stadium. Liverpool's strong defensive record contrasts with West Ham's struggles to keep clean sheets, suggesting the visitors' pressing and tactical discipline could dominate. The match hints at a moderate pace with a balanced goal environment, favoring Liverpool's efficient attack against West Ham's leaky defense.

Home side's defensive vulnerabilities vs Liverpool's sharp offense
Liverpool's recent form momentum vs West Ham's patchy results
Moderate tempo likely to suit Liverpool's structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed

AI 67% Implied 60% +0.67u

+67%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WES 4-2-3-1 · LIV 4-2-3-1

WES · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · LIV

9 Wilson

Subs used · WES

68'

Guilherme ↑ ·

Magassa ↓

78'

Fullkrug ↑ ·

Wilson ↓

88'

Soucek ↑ ·

Potts ↓

Subs used · LIV

68'

Ekitike ↑ ·

Isak ↓

75'

Jones ↑ ·

Wirtz ↓

85'

Robertson ↑ ·

Kerkez ↓

📊 Statistics

WES 0 – 2 LIV

44%

Possession (%)

56%

0.32

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.26

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

12 · 0 – 2

Half-time · 0 – 0

60'

⚽

A. Isak

Assist · C. Gakpo · 0–1

Soungoutou Magassa

Yellow Card

▮

66'

Luis Guilherme ↓ · S. Magassa ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

68'

⇄

H. Ekitike ↓ · A. Isak ↑

Substitution 1

75'

⇄

C. Jones ↓ · F. Wirtz ↑

Substitution 2

N. Fullkrug ↓ · C. Wilson ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

Lucas Paquetá

Yellow Card

▮

83'

Lucas Paquetá

Yellow Card

▮

84'

Lucas Paquetá

Red Card

▮

84'

85'

⇄

A. Robertson ↓ · M. Kerkez ↑

Substitution 3

T. Soucek ↓ · F. Potts ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

88'

90'

⚽

C. Gakpo

Assist · J. Gomez · 0–2

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Liverpool won 2–0 away at West Ham. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.26 to 0.32. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Isak (60'), C. Gakpo (90'). Lucas Paquetá was sent off in the 84' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.62 units (Brier 0.123).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.67	—	67%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Away Win	1.80	—	62%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS No	2.55	—	46%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.53	—	45%	Cashed	+1.53	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.15	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.40	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.26	—	83%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.59	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.57	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.36	—	62%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 0.5	18.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	94%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.35	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.18	—	78%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Home Win	4.40	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.32	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.62u	−21% ROI