P
Prognosist
P
Home England Premier League Crystal Palace — Manchester United

Match Crystal Palace vs Manchester United November 30, 2025 — Result and Stats

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Home · last 5 L D L D L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 12:00
1:2
Full-time
Manchester United
Manchester United
W W D W W Away · last 5
Selhurst Park · London Referee Robert Jones, England
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 49% · book 2.44
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.81
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.62
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.97 – 1.25
Δ +0.72
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Crystal Palace hold a slight edge at Selhurst Park, backed by stronger recent form and a compact defensive setup that challenges Manchester United's attacking efforts. The home side's defensive solidity contrasts with United's vulnerability at the back, suggesting a tactical battle where Palace's pressing and home momentum could limit away chances.

  • Palace's defensive discipline vs United's offensive pressure
  • Home momentum and recent form advantage
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CRY 3-4-2-1 · MUN 3-4-2-1
Subs used · CRY
38' Nketiah ↑ · Sarr
78' Uche ↑ · Pino
78' Hughes ↑ · Wharton
85' Lerma ↑ · Kamada
85' Devenny ↑ · Mitchell
Subs used · MUN
54' Mazraoui ↑ · Yoro
82' Martinez ↑ · Shaw
90+1' Dorgu ↑ · Diallo
90+1' Mainoo ↑ · Mbeumo

📊 Statistics

CRY 12 MUN
44%
Possession (%)
56%
1.97
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.25
14
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
8
11
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
14
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
3
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 1 – 2
17'
Bryan Mbeumo
Yellow Card
J. Mateta (P)
Penalty · 1–0
36'
E. Nketiah ↓ · I. Sarr ↑
Substitution 1
38'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Edward Nketiah
Yellow Card
53'
54'
N. Mazraoui ↓ · L. Yoro ↑
Substitution 1
54'
J. Zirkzee
Assist · B. Fernandes · 1–1
63'
M. Mount
Assist · B. Fernandes · 1–2
72'
Luke Shaw
Yellow Card
Marc Guéhi
Yellow Card
75'
C. Uche ↓ · Y. Pino ↑
Substitution 2
78'
W. Hughes ↓ · A. Wharton ↑
Substitution 3
78'
82'
L. Martinez ↓ · L. Shaw ↑
Substitution 2
J. Lerma ↓ · D. Kamada ↑
Substitution 4
85'
J. Devenny ↓ · T. Mitchell ↑
Substitution 5
85'
90+1'
P. Dorgu ↓ · A. Diallo ↑
Substitution 3
90+1'
K. Mainoo ↓ · B. Mbeumo ↑
Substitution 4
Jefferson Lerma
Yellow Card
90+3'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Manchester United won 2–1 away at Crystal Palace. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.97 to 1.25. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Mateta (36'), J. Zirkzee (54'), M. Mount (63').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.91 units (Brier 0.206).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.44 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.81 57% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 60% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS No 2.38 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.17 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.79 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.64 51% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.23 25% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.44 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.92 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 65% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Away Win 3.04 25% Cashed +2.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.26 80% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.65 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.60 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.91u −17% ROI