P
Prognosist
P
Home › England › Premier League › Brentford — Burnley

Predictions by Market: Brentford vs Burnley

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Brentford
Brentford
Home · last 5 L W L D D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 15:00
3:1
Full-time
Burnley
Burnley
L L D L D Away · last 5
Gtech Community Stadium · London Referee Samuel Barrott, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BRE
70%
Best 1.51
Draw
20%
Best 4.40
Away Win · BUR
10%
Best 6.50
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.16
Fair odds
3.82
book 4.16 · +8.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +8.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 70.1%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.2%
Odds 4.84
Show model details
Implied probability 20.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 9.8%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.2%
Odds 4.16
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.5%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 70.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 9.8%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 29.9%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BRE – BUR @ 4.16
+8.8%
Edge
Forecast →