Match Brentford vs Burnley November 29, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.10 — +7.1% better than the market.

Brentford holds a clear quality edge over Burnley, boosted by a solid home defensive record and a sharper attack facing a less robust Burnley backline. Despite Brentford's mixed recent form, their home momentum and superior tactical setup suggest control of the match tempo. Burnley’s recent wins hint at resilience, but their defensive vulnerabilities may be exploited.

Brentford’s compact defense vs Burnley’s modest offense
Home crowd support enhancing Brentford’s pressing edge
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over wild open spaces

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.10 ✗ Lost

AI 51% Implied 48% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · BUR 4-2-3-1

BRE · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BUR

9 Thiago ⚽

Subs used · BRE

74'

Henry ↑ ·

Hickey ↓

75'

Nelson ↑ ·

Schade ↓

85'

Yarmolyuk ↑ ·

Jensen ↓

90+1'

Lewis-Potter ↑ ·

Thiago ↓

Subs used · BUR

60'

Ugochukwu ↑ ·

Mejbri ↓

75'

Bruun Larsen ↑ ·

Tchaouna ↓

75'

Laurent ↑ ·

Florentino ↓

75'

Anthony ↑ ·

Foster ↓

81'

Broja ↑ ·

Cullen ↓

📊 Statistics

BRE 3 – 1 BUR

52%

Possession (%)

48%

2.69

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.94

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 3 – 1

16'

▮

Hannibal Mejbri

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

60'

⇄

L. Ugochukwu ↓ · H. Mejbri ↑

Substitution 1

R. Henry ↓ · A. Hickey ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

74'

R. Nelson ↓ · K. Schade ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

75'

⇄

J. Bruun Larsen ↓ · L. Tchaouna ↑

Substitution 2

75'

⇄

J. Laurent ↓ · Florentino ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

J. Anthony ↓ · L. Foster ↑

Substitution 4

77'

▮

Axel Tuanzebe

Yellow Card

81'

⇄

A. Broja ↓ · J. Cullen ↑

Substitution 5

I. Thiago (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

81'

Y. Yarmolyuk ↓ · M. Jensen ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

⚽

Z. Flemming (P)

Penalty · 1–1

I. Thiago

2–1

⚽

86'

D. Ouattara

Assist · J. Henderson · 3–1

⚽

90'

K. Lewis-Potter ↓ · I. Thiago ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+1'

Full-time · 3 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.10	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.90	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.02	—	46%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.86	—	49%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Home Win	1.49	—	70%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.16	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.42	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	90%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.89	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.15	—	27%	Cashed	+2.15	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.20	—	70%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.84	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.26	—	74%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Away Win	7.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.84u	−23% ROI