Match Egypt vs Iran June 27, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Egypt shows strong defensive resilience with a high clean sheet rate in qualifiers, while Iran boasts a slightly higher scoring output but concedes more. The home side’s recent unbeaten run and compact defensive block could frustrate Iran’s attacking rhythm. Expect a tactical battle with Egypt’s disciplined shape countering Iran’s pressing edge and shot volume.

Egypt’s home momentum and defensive solidity
Iran’s attacking threat and pressing style
Moderate pace suggested by cautious goal markets

The match may lean towards a tight scoreline given Egypt’s low goals conceded and Iran’s mixed defensive form. Both teams have shown ability to control tempo, hinting at a measured, strategic encounter rather than an open, high-scoring game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

EGY 4-2-3-1 · IRN 5-3-2

EGY · 4-2-3-1 5-3-2 · IRN

7 Trézéguet

Subs used · EGY

14'

Ibrahim ↑ ·

Abdelmonem ↓

46'

Marmoush ↑ ·

Ashour ↓

46'

Attia ↑ ·

Saber ↓

57'

Zizo ↑ ·

Salah ↓

76'

Abdelkarim ↑ ·

Ziko ↓

Subs used · IRN

46'

Hardani ↑ ·

Nemati ↓

67'

Moghanlou ↑ ·

Ghoddos ↓

90+1'

Jahanbakhsh ↑ ·

Mohebi ↓

📊 Statistics

EGY 1 – 1 IRN

61%

Possession (%)

39%

0.81

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.83

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 1 – 1

M. Saber

1–0

⚽

11'

⚽

M. Taremi (P)

Penalty · Assist · M. Taremi · 1–1

14'

⚽

R. Rezaeian

1–2

Y. Ibrahim ↓ · M. Abdelmonem ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

14'

19'

▮

H. Kanaani

Yellow Card

M. Saber

Yellow Card

▮

20'

Y. Ibrahim

Yellow Card

▮

42'

43'

▮

A. Nemati

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 2

46'

⇄

S. Hardani ↓ · A. Nemati ↑

Substitution 1

O. Marmoush ↓ · E. Ashour ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

M. Attia ↓ · M. Saber ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

46'

Zizo ↓ · M. Salah ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

57'

67'

⇄

S. Moghanlou ↓ · S. Ghoddos ↑

Substitution 2

H. Abdelkarim ↓ · M. Ziko ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

76'

79'

▮

S. Ezatolahi

Yellow Card

90+1'

⇄

A. Jahanbakhsh ↓ · M. Mohebi ↑

Substitution 3

M. Lasheen

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

90+4'

▮

S. Khalilzadeh

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Egypt and Iran drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.83 to 0.81. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Saber (5'), R. Rezaeian (14').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.10 units (Brier 0.150).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 1.5	2.39	2.30	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.65	1.62	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.45	2.70	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	2.73	2.67	32%	Cashed	+1.73	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.79	2.80	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.14	2.20	39%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.42	2.26	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.53	1.47	62%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Away Win	3.83	3.38	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.44	1.40	69%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.28	1.32	70%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.53	1.61	58%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.13	1.12	85%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.12	1.15	83%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.57	1.66	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	5.50	5.00	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	5.00	5.99	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.10u	−24% ROI