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Home World World Cup Türkiye — USA

Predictions Türkiye vs USA June 26, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Türkiye
Türkiye
Home · last 5 L L W
Kick-off
Fri 26 Jun · 02:00
3:2
Full-time
USA
USA
W W L W L Away · last 5
Referee M. Ghorbal
Home Win · TUR
32%
Best 4.03
Draw
24%
Best 4.42
Away Win · USA
45%
Best 1.85
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.47
Fair odds
3.16
book 3.47 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (45%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 44.9%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 31.6%
Odds 3.47
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.5%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 43%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 57%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 35.2%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23.1%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.8%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 31.6%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44.9%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
TUR – USA @ 3.47
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →