Match Türkiye vs USA June 26, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.47 — +9.6% better than the market.

Türkiye enters this World Cup clash with strong qualifying form, boasting a potent attack that averages over two goals per game and a solid defensive record with multiple clean sheets. Their pressing and set-piece threat could challenge the USA, who come with less recent competitive data, adding an element of uncertainty. Expect Türkiye's home momentum and sharper tactical cohesion to shape the match dynamics.

Türkiye's attacking edge and goal-scoring consistency
USA's unknown form adds unpredictability
Neutral venue may slightly reduce home advantage but Türkiye's rhythm stands out

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.47 ✓ Cashed

AI 32% Implied 29% +2.47u

+247%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TUR 4-2-3-1 · USA 4-1-2-3

TUR · 4-2-3-1 4-1-2-3 · USA

21 Yılmaz ⚽

Subs used · TUR

84'

Söyüncü ↑ ·

Çelik ↓

84'

Uzun ↑ ·

Yıldız ↓

88'

Ayhan ↑ ·

Kökçü ↓

92'

Müldür ↑ ·

Aydın ↓

92'

Kahveci ↑ ·

Yilmaz ↓

Subs used · USA

58'

Pulisic ↑ ·

Weah ↓

76'

Dest ↑ ·

Reyna ↓

77'

Zendejas ↑ ·

Aaronson ↓

77'

Freeman ↑ ·

Scally ↓

86'

Tillman ↑ ·

McKennie ↓

📊 Statistics

TUR 3 – 2 USA

47%

Possession (%)

53%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 3 – 2

⚽

Auston Trusty

Assist · Sebastian Berhalter · 0–1

Arda Güler

Assist · Baris Alper Yilmaz · 1–1

⚽

10'

19'

▮

Sebastian Berhalter

Yellow Card

Baris Alper Yilmaz

Assist · Orkun Kökçü · 2–1

⚽

31'

Half-time · 2 – 1

49'

⚽

Sebastian Berhalter

2–2

58'

⇄

Christian Pulisic ↓ · Timothy Weah ↑

Substitution 1

76'

⇄

Sergiño Dest ↓ · Giovanni Reyna ↑

Substitution 2

77'

⇄

Álex Zendejas ↓ · Brenden Aaronson ↑

Substitution 3

77'

⇄

Alex Freeman ↓ · Joe Scally ↑

Substitution 4

Çağlar Söyüncü ↓ · Zeki Çelik ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

84'

Can Yilmaz Uzun ↓ · Kenan Yıldız ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

84'

86'

⇄

Malik Tillman ↓ · Weston McKennie ↑

Substitution 5

Kaan Ayhan ↓ · Orkun Kökçü ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

88'

Mert Müldür ↓ · Oğuz Aydın ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

92'

İrfan Can Kahveci ↓ · Baris Alper Yilmaz ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

92'

Kaan Ayhan

3–2

⚽

98'

Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Türkiye beat USA 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 9, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

On the scoresheet: Auston Trusty (3'), Arda Güler (10'), Baris Alper Yilmaz (31'), Sebastian Berhalter (49'), Kaan Ayhan (98').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.33 units (Brier 0.223).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.82	1.93	55%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
BTTS No	2.16	2.31	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.38	2.38	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.57	1.57	57%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.64	1.58	55%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Away Win	1.93	1.81	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.62	2.91	32%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
Home Win	3.47	3.85	32%	Cashed	+2.47	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.40	2.45	35%	Cashed	+1.40	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.30	1.25	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.50	1.41	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.01	93%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	4.00	4.15	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.53	1.57	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	5.00	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.13	1.17	80%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	14.93	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.33u	−8% ROI