P
Prognosist
P
Home World World Cup Ecuador — Germany

Predictions Ecuador vs Germany June 25, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Ecuador
Ecuador
Home · last 5 L D W L
Kick-off
Thu 25 Jun · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Germany
Germany
W W L D Away · last 5
Referee Tori Penso, USA
Home Win · ECU
26%
Best 5.00
Draw
20%
Best 4.84
Away Win · GER
54%
Best 1.66
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.62
Fair odds
1.46
book 1.62 · +11.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 69% · EV +11.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 54%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 66%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 26.2%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.8%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 32.3%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 85.9%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 16.5%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality High
BTTS No
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.87
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 54%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 46%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 73.8%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
ECU – GER @ 1.62
+11.3%
Edge
Forecast →