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Home › World › World Cup › Netherlands — Sweden

Predictions by Market: Netherlands vs Sweden

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Netherlands
Netherlands
Home · last 5 D W W D
Kick-off
Sat 20 Jun · 17:00
5:1
Full-time
Sweden
Sweden
W L D L Away · last 5
Referee Michael Oliver, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NED
53%
Best 1.76
Draw
24%
Best 4.20
Away Win · SWE
23%
Best 4.80
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.00
Fair odds
4.40
book 5.00 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 23% · EV +13.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (53%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 53%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 22.7%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.83
Show model details
Implied probability 26.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.7%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.9%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 22.7%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 47%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
NED – SWE @ 5.00
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →