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Home World World Cup Netherlands — Sweden

Predictions Netherlands vs Sweden June 20, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Netherlands
Netherlands
Home · last 5 D W W D
Kick-off
Sat 20 Jun · 17:00
5:1
Full-time
Sweden
Sweden
W L D L Away · last 5
Referee Michael Oliver, England
Home Win · NET
53%
Best 1.76
Draw
24%
Best 4.20
Away Win · SWE
23%
Best 4.80
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.00
Fair odds
4.40
book 5.00 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 23% · EV +13.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (53%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 53%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 22.7%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.83
Show model details
Implied probability 26.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.7%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.9%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 44.9%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 22.7%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 47%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
NET – SWE @ 5.00
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →