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Home World World Cup USA — Australia

Predictions USA vs Australia June 19, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
USA
USA
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Fri 19 Jun · 19:00
2:0
Full-time
Australia
Australia
W L D D Away · last 5
Lumen Field · Seattle Referee Felix Zwayer, Germany
Home Win · USA
57%
Best 1.65
Draw
23%
Best 4.60
Away Win · AUS
20%
Best 5.40
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.25
Fair odds
5.08
book 5.25 · +3.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 20% · EV +3.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (57%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 19.7%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 48.4%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 51.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 27%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.1%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26.9%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.6%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 44%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 19.7%
Odds 4.15
Show model details
Implied probability 24.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 88.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
USA – AUS @ 5.25
+3.4%
Edge
Forecast →