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Home World World Cup USA — Australia

Match USA vs Australia June 19, 2026 — Result and Stats

World   /   World Cup
USA
USA
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Fri 19 Jun · 19:00
2:0
Full-time
Australia
Australia
W L D D Away · last 5
Lumen Field · Seattle Referee Felix Zwayer, Germany
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 43% · book 2.34
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.75
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 48% · book 1.99
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.30 – 0.44
Δ +0.86
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

In this World Cup clash at a neutral venue, Australia arrives with strong qualifying form, boasting a solid defense and efficient attack. The USA, lacking recent qualification data, faces uncertainty but benefits from home momentum and crowd support. Australia's compact defensive block and low goals-against rate suggest a disciplined approach, while the USA's pressing edge and set-piece threat could unlock scoring chances.

  • Australia's defensive resilience and clean sheet record stand out.
  • USA's home-like atmosphere may fuel attacking intent.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline over wild open play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

USA 4-2-3-1 · AUS 5-4-1
Subs used · USA
74' Berhalter ↑ · Pepi
80' Scally ↑ · Dest
80' Trusty ↑ · Robinson
90+6' Wright ↑ · Balogun
90+6' Reyna ↑ · McKennie
Subs used · AUS
46' Geria ↑ · Burgess
46' Metcalfe ↑ · Velupillay
46' Irankunda ↑ · Toure
61' Volpato ↑ · Leckie
78' Irvine ↑ · Okon-Engstler

📊 Statistics

USA 20 AUS
62%
Possession (%)
38%
1.30
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.44
10
Total Shots
5
2
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
3
7
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
16
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
3
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

19 · 2 – 0
C. Burgess
Own goal · 1–0
11'
16'
J. Bos
Yellow Card
32'
A. Circati
Yellow Card
A. Freeman
2–0
43'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
J. Geria ↓ · C. Burgess ↑
Substitution 1
46'
C. Metcalfe ↓ · N. Velupillay ↑
Substitution 2
46'
N. Irankunda ↓ · M. Toure ↑
Substitution 3
A. Robinson
Yellow Card
56'
61'
C. Volpato ↓ · M. Leckie ↑
Substitution 4
S. Berhalter ↓ · R. Pepi ↑
Substitution 1
74'
78'
J. Irvine ↓ · P. Okon-Engstler ↑
Substitution 5
J. Scally ↓ · S. Dest ↑
Substitution 2
80'
A. Trusty ↓ · A. Robinson ↑
Substitution 3
80'
88'
H. Souttar
Yellow Card
F. Balogun
Yellow Card
89'
89'
J. Italiano
Yellow Card
C. Richards
Yellow Card
90+3'
H. Wright ↓ · F. Balogun ↑
Substitution 4
90+6'
G. Reyna ↓ · W. McKennie ↑
Substitution 5
90+6'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

USA beat Australia 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.30 to 0.44. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 10 shots to 5, 2 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Burgess (11'), A. Freeman (43').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.82 units (Brier 0.111).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.34 2.27 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.75 1.83 56% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.99 1.90 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.80 1.91 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.00 1.90 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.14 1.16 80% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Home Win 1.60 1.62 57% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Away Win 5.25 4.90 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.50 3.19 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 1.28 73% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Draw 4.10 4.50 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.04 91% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.36 1.36 71% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.35 3.70 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.15 3.82 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.50 11.63 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.21 1.25 57% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.82u −34% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 4 in the sample