Match Netherlands vs Japan June 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Netherlands enter this World Cup clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record and a high scoring rate in qualifiers. Their compact block and efficient attack create a pressing edge against Japan, who also show resilience with a disciplined defense and quick transitions. The match hints at a balanced tempo with chances for both sides, but Netherlands' home edge and recent form suggest they may control the rhythm.

Netherlands' sturdy defense and prolific attack
Japan's disciplined backline and counter-attacks
Balanced pace with potential for tactical adjustments

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NET 4-3-3 · JPN 3-4-2-1

NET · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · JPN

11 Gakpo

Subs used · NET

70'

Depay ↑ ·

Malen ↓

70'

Koopmeiners ↑ ·

Summerville ↓

70'

Timber ↑ ·

Reijnders ↓

81'

Ake ↑ ·

Gravenberch ↓

85'

Brobbey ↑ ·

Gakpo ↓

Subs used · JPN

66'

Ito ↑ ·

Maeda ↓

75'

Tomiyasu ↑ ·

Watanabe ↓

75'

Ogawa ↑ ·

Kubo ↓

75'

Sugawara ↑ ·

Doan ↓

84'

Shiogai ↑ ·

Ueda ↓

📊 Statistics

NET 2 – 2 JPN

60%

Possession (%)

40%

0.79

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.54

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 2

Half-time · 0 – 0

V. van Dijk

Assist · R. Gravenberch · 1–0

⚽

51'

57'

⚽

K. Nakamura

Assist · T. Kubo · 1–1

C. Summerville

Yellow Card

▮

61'

C. Summerville

Assist · R. Gravenberch · 2–1

⚽

64'

66'

⇄

J. Ito ↓ · D. Maeda ↑

Substitution 1

M. Depay ↓ · D. Malen ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

70'

T. Koopmeiners ↓ · C. Summerville ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

70'

Q. Timber ↓ · T. Reijnders ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

70'

75'

⇄

T. Tomiyasu ↓ · T. Watanabe ↑

Substitution 2

75'

⇄

K. Ogawa ↓ · T. Kubo ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

Y. Sugawara ↓ · R. Doan ↑

Substitution 4

N. Ake ↓ · R. Gravenberch ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

M. Depay

Yellow Card

▮

83'

84'

⇄

K. Shiogai ↓ · A. Ueda ↑

Substitution 5

B. Brobbey ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

88'

⚽

D. Kamada

Assist · K. Ogawa · 2–2

M. van de Ven

Yellow Card

▮

90+1'

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Netherlands and Japan drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: V. van Dijk (51'), K. Nakamura (57'), C. Summerville (64'), D. Kamada (88').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.09 units (Brier 0.211).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.80	1.76	54%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.88	1.78	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.91	2.05	50%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.79	1.80	52%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
BTTS No	1.96	1.95	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.98	2.05	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.75	2.62	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.60	3.73	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.45	1.49	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	1.28	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.29	3.70	29%	Cashed	+2.29	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	1.33	72%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	3.30	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.06	91%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	9.01	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.55	3.40	26%	Cashed	+2.55	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.26	1.26	71%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.09u	−6% ROI