P
Prognosist
P
Home › World › World Cup › Mexico — South Africa

Predictions by Market: Mexico vs South Africa

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Mexico
Mexico
Home · last 5 W W W W L
Kick-off
Thu 11 Jun · 19:00
2:0
Full-time
South Africa
South Africa
L D W L Away · last 5
Estadio Banorte · Mexico City Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MEX
60%
Best 1.44
Draw
22%
Best 4.60
Away Win · RSA
18%
Best 9.00
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.88
Fair odds
2.53
book 2.88 · +13.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 40% · EV +13.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (82%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 17.9%
Odds 8.48
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 21.7%
Odds 4.47
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.2%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.2%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 17.9%
Odds 5.90
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 82.1%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
MEX – RSA @ 2.88
+13.8%
Edge
Forecast →