P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Belgium Jupiler Pro League St. Truiden — KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
Home · last 5 W W L D L
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 16:30
:
Pre-match · scheduled
KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen
L W L D D Away · last 5
Referee J. Vergoote
Home Win · TRU
59%
Best 1.80
Draw
21%
Best 4.34
Away Win · MEC
20%
Best 3.86
Best bet
Home Win
@ 1.91
Fair odds
1.70
book 1.91 · +12.2% better than market
Bookmakers polled
Best bet confidence
High
p 59% · EV +12.2%
AI preview · 90 sec read

AI sees no standout edge in this market — odds and probabilities line up.

St. Truiden holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a stronger attack facing a less resilient Mechelen defense. Their recent form shows signs of revival, while Mechelen's patchy results suggest a compact but vulnerable setup. Expect a controlled tempo with St. Truiden pressing to exploit defensive gaps.

  • Home side's offensive edge against away defense
  • Better recent form and home comfort
  • Moderate pace likely, favoring structured play

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.49
Goals Scored
1.23
1.18
Goals Conceded
1.49
1.60
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
4.23
Shots on Target
3.28
5.56
Corners
4.28
53.92
Possession (%)
46.97
101.07
Efficiency index
108.92
105.62
Adjusted index
81.45
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
75
OFF · home
25
70
DEF · home
30
75
OFF · away
20
85
DEF · away
20
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

St. Truiden wins when scoring first
KV Mechelen wins when scoring first
St. Truiden BTTS rate · last 10
60%
KV Mechelen BTTS rate · last 10
70%
St. Truiden Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
KV Mechelen Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
St. Truiden comeback rate · last 10
0%
KV Mechelen comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

St. Truiden · last 5 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 33%
31–45 0%
46–60 17%
61–75 0%
76–90 50%

KV Mechelen · last 5 away

0–15 17%
16–30 17%
31–45 33%
46–60 0%
61–75 17%
76–90 17%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

K. Goto
TRU · Attacker
11 G · 0.35 g/90
R. Ito
TRU · Midfielder
10 G · 0.32 g/90
M. van Brederode
MEC · Attacker
9 G · 0.29 g/90