St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen 3:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.91 — +12.2% better than the market.

St. Truiden holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a stronger attack facing a less resilient Mechelen defense. Their recent form shows signs of revival, while Mechelen's patchy results suggest a compact but vulnerable setup. Expect a controlled tempo with St. Truiden pressing to exploit defensive gaps.

Home side's offensive edge against away defense
Better recent form and home comfort
Moderate pace likely, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.91 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 52% +0.91u

+91%

ROI on stake

Lineups

TRU 4-2-3-1 · MEC 3-4-1-2

TRU · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · MEC

42 Goto

Statistics

TRU 3 – 0 MEC

47%

Possession (%)

53%

1.52

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.42

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

St. Truiden beat KV Mechelen 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.52 to 0.42. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 7, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -3.65 units (Brier 0.133).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.91	—	59%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.55	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.37	—	45%	Cashed	+1.37	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.37	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.91	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.66	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.49	—	59%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.33	—	80%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.51	—	66%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.59	—	56%	Cashed	+0.59	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.60	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.46	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.15	—	78%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Away Win	3.60	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−3.65u	−24% ROI

St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled