Match Kifisia vs Larisa May 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.90 — +12.7% better than the market.

Kifisia holds a clear quality edge and a solid defensive record that could stifle Larisa's attack. The home side's recent form shows resilience, while Larisa's slightly better recent points per game suggests they can challenge. Expect a tactical battle with Kifisia's compact block and Larisa's pressing edge shaping the game.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive pressure
Close recent head-to-head draws hint at a tight contest
Odds favor a low-scoring match, suggesting a cautious pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.90 ✗ Lost

AI 59% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KIF 4-4-2 · AEL 4-4-1-1

KIF · 4-4-2 4-4-1-1 · AEL

6 Pombo

📊 Statistics

KIF 3 – 2 AEL

57%

Possession (%)

43%

1.83

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.95

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kifisia beat Larisa 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 16, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.86 units (Brier 0.255).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.71	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.90	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.30	—	50%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.61	—	50%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.85	—	41%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.15	—	34%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.23	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.94	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	77%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.59	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.16	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	—	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.30	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	83%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	59%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.54	—	16%	Cashed	+2.54	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.86u	−11% ROI