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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Gent — Union St. Gilloise

Gent vs Union St. Gilloise 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Gent
Gent
Home · last 5 D D D L D
Kick-off
Thu 21 May · 18:30
0:0
Full-time
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
L W L D W Away · last 5
Ghelamco Arena · Ghent Referee J. Vergoote
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 61% · book 1.77 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 51% · book 1.91 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 53% · book 1.80 ✗
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.46 – 1.20
Δ +0.26
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.77 — +7.8% better than the market.

Union St. Gilloise arrives with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage over Gent, whose home form shows some fragility. The visitors' stronger attack against Gent's defense suggests they can break through, while Gent's offense faces a tough test against a compact away backline. Recent form slightly favors Gent, but Union's overall strength and tactical discipline could tilt the balance.

  • Union's defensive solidity challenges Gent's attack
  • Gent's home momentum is limited by recent draws and losses
  • Moderate pace expected, balanced goal potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.77 ✗ Lost
AI 61% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GEN 0 – 0 GIL
46%
Possession (%)
54%
1.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.20
9
Total Shots
15
1
Shots on Target
8
6
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
9
8
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
10
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
4
Yellow Cards
0
8
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Gent and Union St. Gilloise drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 9, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +9.72 units (Brier 0.343).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.77 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.91 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.91 — 49% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS No 1.95 — 47% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.05 — 39% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.20 — 85% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.32 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 92% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.28 — 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 — 71% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.78 — 24% Cashed +2.78 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.50 — 25% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 — 8% Cashed +10.00 Cashed
Home Win 4.60 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.30 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +9.72u +57% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
GEN – GIL @ 1.77
+7.8%
Edge
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