KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.33 — +8.9% better than the market.

KVC Westerlo hosts Standard Liege in a tightly matched Jupiler Pro League clash. Westerlo's home edge is modest but notable, supported by a solid defensive setup that challenges Standard's less potent attack. Both sides show similar overall strength, but Westerlo's recent form and higher expected goals hint at a slight momentum advantage. The match may lean towards a cautious tempo, with under 2.5 goals likely given the defensive solidity and past low-scoring encounters.

Home defensive resilience vs away offensive struggles
Comparable team strength with slight home momentum
Moderate pace suggesting a compact, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.33 ✗ Lost

AI 25% Implied 23% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

WES 4-2-3-1 · STA 5-4-1

WES · 4-2-3-1 5-4-1 · STA

90 Ferri

Statistics

WES 1 – 2 STA

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.30

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.43

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Standard Liege won 2–1 away at KVC Westerlo. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.43 to 1.30. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 12, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.88 units (Brier 0.203).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.16	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.25	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.81	—	54%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Home Win	2.00	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.71	—	51%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	53%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.66	—	29%	Cashed	+1.66	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.64	—	29%	Cashed	+2.64	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	71%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.29	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.88	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.49	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	92%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.68	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	75%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.88u	−11% ROI

KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled