Match Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland May 17, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.62 — +10.4% better than the market.

FC Nordsjaelland arrive with a slight quality edge and a more potent attack against Sonderjyske’s sturdy defense. Despite Sonderjyske’s better recent form and home momentum, Nordsjaelland’s pressing and offensive threat could challenge the hosts’ compact block. The match hints at a balanced tempo with moderate goal expectations, supported by historical close scorelines.

Sonderjyske’s home edge in defense may limit clear chances.
Nordsjaelland’s attack tests the home backline’s resilience.
Recent form favors Sonderjyske but quality leans to visitors.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.62 ✗ Lost

AI 68% Implied 62% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SON 4-1-4-1 · NOR 3-4-2-1

SON · 4-1-4-1 3-4-2-1 · NOR

9 Hoppe

📊 Statistics

SON 1 – 4 NOR

35%

Possession (%)

65%

1.85

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.33

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Nordsjaelland won 4–1 away at Sonderjyske. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.33 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.50 units (Brier 0.168).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.62	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.55	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.60	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.10	—	53%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.60	—	53%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.72	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.25	—	32%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.36	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.36	—	76%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	54%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.53	—	53%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Home Win	3.16	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	92%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.90	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.14	—	74%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.50u	−26% ROI

Match Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.62 — +10.4% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled