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Prognosist
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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Club Brugge KV — Union St. Gilloise

Match Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats

Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
Home · last 5 W W W D W
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 16:30
5:0
Full-time
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
L W L D W Away · last 5
Referee Lothar D'hondt, Belgium
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 54% · book 2.07
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.80
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.67
Total goals
5
5 · 0
xG (open play)
2.28 – 1.45
Δ +0.83
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Club Brugge KV enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a notable edge in offensive firepower against Union's defense. Their compact block and pressing style could exploit Union's defensive vulnerabilities. Despite Union's resilience and decent away form, Brugge's home advantage and sharper attack suggest a lively encounter with multiple goal opportunities.

  • Home side's attacking edge versus away defense
  • Strong recent form and home comfort
  • Potential for open play and goals given pace hints

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

CLU 50 GIL
47%
Possession (%)
53%
2.28
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.45
17
Total Shots
22
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
6
13
Shots Inside Box
16
6
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
7
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
1
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Club Brugge KV beat Union St. Gilloise 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.28 to 1.45. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 17, 4 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.28 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.81 units (Brier 0.161).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.07 54% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.80 60% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 40% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.03 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.76 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.48 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 38% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.33 78% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.55 54% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 80% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.70 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.40 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.81u −17% ROI