Match St. Truiden vs Gent May 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

St. Truiden holds a clear quality edge and home momentum after recent wins, while Gent struggles with form and defensive consistency. The home side's solid defensive shape could frustrate Gent's attack, which has been underwhelming away. Expect a tactical battle with St. Truiden pressing their advantage and controlling the pace in a moderately open game.

Home edge in form and quality
St. Truiden's defensive compactness vs Gent's attack
Moderate tempo with potential for set-piece moments

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

TRU 4-2-3-1 · GEN 4-2-3-1

TRU · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · GEN

42 Goto

📊 Statistics

TRU 1 – 1 GEN

64%

Possession (%)

36%

2.09

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.55

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

St. Truiden and Gent drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.09 to 1.55. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 12, 4 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.47 units (Brier 0.176).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.02	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.35	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.29	—	42%	Cashed	+1.29	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.64	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.63	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.83	—	44%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.68	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.31	—	80%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	64%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	59%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.52	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	94%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	79%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.80	—	24%	Cashed	+2.80	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.50	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.47u	−15% ROI