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Home › Greece › Super League 1 › AEK Athens FC — Panathinaikos

Predictions by Market: AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
Home · last 5 W D W D D
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
L D L L D Away · last 5
Referee Harm Osmers, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AEK
65%
Best 1.59
Draw
24%
Best 3.90
Away Win · PAN
12%
Best 6.50
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.96
book 3.25 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +9.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (66%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 11.5%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.1%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 79%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 21%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.1%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 11.5%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 35.3%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.5%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
AEK – PAN @ 3.25
+9.8%
Edge
Forecast →