Match AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos May 10, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AEK Athens FC enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a solid recent run. Their defensive solidity combined with a pressing edge could stifle Panathinaikos, who have struggled for consistency away. The tactical matchup favors AEK’s compact block and efficient attack against Panathinaikos’ less effective defense, suggesting a controlled game with limited goals.

Home side’s superior form and quality gap
Defensive resilience vs away offensive struggles
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

AEK 4-4-2 · PAN 5-4-1

AEK · 4-4-2 5-4-1 · PAN

9 Jović

📊 Statistics

AEK 2 – 1 PAN

62%

Possession (%)

38%

2.16

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.45

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

AEK Athens FC beat Panathinaikos 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.16 to 0.45. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 10, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.14 units (Brier 0.129).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.65	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.73	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.10	—	43%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.50	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.15	—	40%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Home Win	1.59	—	65%	Cashed	+0.59	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.25	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	89%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.18	—	65%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.28	—	79%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	89%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.37	—	66%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.90	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.30	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.14u	−30% ROI