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Home Austria Bundesliga TSV Hartberg — Sturm Graz

Predictions TSV Hartberg vs Sturm Graz May 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 15:00
2:4
Full-time
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
D D D W W Away · last 5
Referee Alain Sadikovski, Austria
Home Win · HAR
18%
Best 4.00
Draw
24%
Best 3.62
Away Win · STU
58%
Best 1.90
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.00
Fair odds
1.75
book 2.00 · +14.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 57% · EV +14.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.62
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 18%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.2%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 42.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.5%
Odds 3.62
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5 Best in group
Probability 76.7%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.3%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 53.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 18%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 42.2%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 82%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
HAR – STU @ 2.00
+14.5%
Edge
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