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Home England Premier League Leeds — Aston Villa

Predictions Leeds vs Aston Villa November 23, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Leeds
Leeds
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 14:00
1:2
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L L D W W Away · last 5
Elland Road · Leeds, West Yorkshire Referee Robert Jones, England
Home Win · LEE
24%
Best 3.00
Draw
27%
Best 3.28
Away Win · AST
49%
Best 2.45
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.00
Fair odds
1.81
book 2.00 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 55% · EV +10.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 49%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 23.7%
Odds 3.17
Show model details
Implied probability 31.6%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.37
Show model details
Implied probability 29.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 34.3%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 11.1%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 80.7%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 19.4%
Odds 4.25
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 55.2%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.8%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 49%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 23.7%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 51%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 76.3%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
LEE – AST @ 2.00
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →