Match Fulham vs Sunderland November 22, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.73 — +10.4% better than the market.

Fulham hosts Sunderland in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but Fulham’s home defensive solidity and recent attacking signs could keep things tight. Sunderland’s pressing and defensive resilience may challenge Fulham’s offense, yet the home side’s compact block and set-piece threat offer a balanced contest.

Fulham’s home defensive strength contrasts Sunderland’s pressing intensity.
Recent form favors Sunderland slightly, but Fulham’s home momentum is notable.
Expect a cautious pace with limited goal opportunities, leaning towards a low-scoring affair.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.73 ✓ Cashed

AI 64% Implied 58% +0.73u

+73%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FUL 4-2-3-1 · SUN 5-4-1

FUL · 4-2-3-1 5-4-1 · SUN

7 Jiménez ⚽

Subs used · FUL

64'

Smith Rowe ↑ ·

King ↓

64'

Chukwueze ↑ ·

Kevin ↓

89'

Reed ↑ ·

Iwobi ↓

90+4'

Castagne ↑ ·

Wilson ↓

Subs used · SUN

64'

Talbi ↑ ·

Traore ↓

64'

Brobbey ↑ ·

Isidor ↓

90'

Adingra ↑ ·

Le Fee ↓

90'

Mayenda ↑ ·

Hume ↓

📊 Statistics

FUL 1 – 0 SUN

57%

Possession (%)

43%

2.08

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.17

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 0

32'

▮

Daniel Ballard

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

E. Smith Rowe ↓ · J. King ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

S. Chukwueze ↓ · Kevin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

⇄

C. Talbi ↓ · B. Traore ↑

Substitution 1

64'

⇄

B. Brobbey ↓ · W. Isidor ↑

Substitution 2

79'

▮

Reinildo Mandava

Yellow Card

R. Jimenez

Assist · S. Chukwueze · 1–0

⚽

84'

88'

▮

Trai Hume

Yellow Card

H. Reed ↓ · A. Iwobi ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

89'

90'

⇄

S. Adingra ↓ · E. Le Fee ↑

Substitution 3

90'

⇄

E. Mayenda ↓ · T. Hume ↑

Substitution 4

Bernd Leno

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

Harry Wilson

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

T. Castagne ↓ · H. Wilson ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+4'

Raúl Jiménez

Yellow Card

▮

90+5'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Fulham beat Sunderland 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.08 to 0.17. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 4, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Jimenez (84').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.02 units (Brier 0.179).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.73	—	64%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS No	1.91	—	58%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.78	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.72	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.02	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.17	—	38%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.30	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.01	—	38%	Cashed	+2.01	Cashed
Away Win	3.92	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.26	—	83%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	66%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	87%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.36	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.51	—	38%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.50	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.02u	−18% ROI