Match Brentford vs Newcastle November 9, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Brentford holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a home advantage that could tilt the balance in their favor. Their offensive strength matches well against Newcastle's leaky defense, while Newcastle's attack faces a tough Brentford backline. Brentford's recent form is mixed but shows more promise compared to Newcastle's inconsistent away results. Expect a controlled pace with Brentford pressing to exploit defensive gaps.

Home momentum and tactical solidity
Newcastle's defensive vulnerabilities
Moderate goal environment suggested by odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · NEW 4-3-3

BRE · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · NEW

9 Thiago ⚽

Subs used · BRE

70'

Henry ↑ ·

Hickey ↓

84'

Jensen ↑ ·

Damsgaard ↓

84'

Janelt ↑ ·

Yarmolyuk ↓

90+2'

Nelson ↑ ·

Ouattara ↓

Subs used · NEW

24'

Ramsey ↑ ·

Joelinton ↓

77'

Ramsdale ↑ ·

Pope ↓

77'

Hall ↑ ·

Barnes ↓

77'

Elanga ↑ ·

Murphy ↓

77'

Willock ↑ ·

Tonali ↓

90+6'

Miley ↑ ·

Guimaraes ↓

📊 Statistics

BRE 3 – 1 NEW

49%

Possession (%)

51%

2.53

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.42

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 3 – 1

24'

⇄

J. Ramsey ↓ · Joelinton ↑

Substitution 1

27'

⚽

H. Barnes

0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

49'

▮

Dan Burn

Yellow Card

K. Schade

1–1

⚽

56'

Dango Ouattara

Yellow Card

▮

61'

R. Henry ↓ · A. Hickey ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

70'

73'

▮

Dan Burn

Yellow Card

73'

▮

Dan Burn

Red Card

77'

⇄

A. Ramsdale ↓ · N. Pope ↑

Substitution 2

77'

⇄

L. Hall ↓ · H. Barnes ↑

Substitution 3

77'

⇄

A. Elanga ↓ · J. Murphy ↑

Substitution 4

77'

⇄

J. Willock ↓ · S. Tonali ↑

Substitution 5

I. Thiago (P)

Penalty · 2–1

⚽

78'

M. Jensen ↓ · M. Damsgaard ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

84'

V. Janelt ↓ · Y. Yarmolyuk ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

84'

Michael Kayode

Yellow Card

▮

87'

I. Thiago

3–1

⚽

90'

R. Nelson ↓ · D. Ouattara ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+2'

90+6'

⇄

L. Miley ↓ · Bruno Guimaraes ↑

Substitution 6

90+7'

▮

Kieran Trippier

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.63	—	67%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
BTTS No	2.35	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.07	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.22	—	41%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.88	—	45%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.66	—	50%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Away Win	2.48	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.80	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.05	—	41%	Cashed	+2.05	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.44	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.19	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.30	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.00	—	25%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	—	71%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.23u	−7% ROI