Match Girona vs Elche May 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.25 — +13.5% better than the market.

Girona hosts Elche in a La Liga clash where the away side holds a slight quality edge and better recent form. Girona’s defensive solidity faces a probing Elche attack, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. The home side’s home edge is modest, and both teams have shown signs of cautious play recently, hinting at a controlled tempo and a likely low-scoring affair.

Elche’s pressing and recent momentum could unsettle Girona’s backline
Girona’s compact defensive block may restrict goal opportunities
Odds and form suggest under 2.5 goals with a tight contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.25 ✗ Lost

AI 50% Implied 44% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GIR 4-3-3 · ELC 3-5-2

GIR · 4-3-3 3-5-2 · ELC

3 Roca

Subs used · GIR

58'

Beltran ↑ ·

Witsel ↓

58'

Stuani ↑ ·

Gil ↓

58'

Rincon ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

67'

Echeverri ↑ ·

Roca ↓

77'

Lemar ↑ ·

Lopez ↓

Subs used · ELC

46'

Donald ↑ ·

Sangare ↓

75'

Silva ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

75'

Pedrosa ↑ ·

Villar ↓

84'

Fort ↑ ·

Febas ↓

90'

Petrot ↑ ·

Valera ↓

📊 Statistics

GIR 1 – 1 ELC

57%

Possession (%)

43%

0.53

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.22

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 1 – 1

▮

Buba Sangare

Yellow Card

39'

⚽

A. Rodriguez

Assist · P. Bigas · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

46'

⇄

J. Donald ↓ · Buba Sangare ↑

Substitution 1

B. Gil

Yellow Card

▮

45+2'

47'

▮

D. Affengruber

Yellow Card

A. Martinez

1–1

⚽

48'

F. Beltran ↓ · A. Witsel ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

58'

C. Stuani ↓ · B. Gil ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

58'

H. Rincon ↓ · A. Martinez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

58'

Vitor Reis

Yellow Card

▮

60'

C. Echeverri ↓ · J. Roca ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

67'

75'

⇄

Andre Silva ↓ · A. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 2

75'

⇄

A. Pedrosa ↓ · G. Villar ↑

Substitution 3

T. Lemar ↓ · D. Lopez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

77'

C. Echeverri

Yellow Card

▮

83'

84'

⇄

H. Fort ↓ · A. Febas ↑

Substitution 4

85'

▮

G. Valera

Yellow Card

85'

▮

M. Aguado

Yellow Card

T. Lemar

Yellow Card

▮

85'

90'

⇄

L. Petrot ↓ · G. Valera ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Girona and Elche drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 9 shots to 3, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Rodriguez (39'), A. Martinez (48').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.04 units (Brier 0.162).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.28	2.25	54%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
BTTS No	2.25	2.17	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.02	2.00	55%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Home Win	1.88	1.80	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	1.64	50%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.73	1.67	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	2.62	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	1.47	74%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Away Win	4.33	4.26	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	4.50	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	12.99	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.48	3.41	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.26	1.21	69%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Draw	4.00	3.85	24%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	1.02	91%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	1.20	71%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.37	1.35	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.04u	−12% ROI