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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Getafe — Osasuna
Spain   /   La Liga
Getafe
Getafe
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 23 May · 19:00
0:0
Live · 45'
Osasuna
Osasuna
W L L L L Away · last 5
Coliseum · Getafe Referee A. Quintero
Home Win · GET
28%
Best 2.83
Draw
32%
Best 2.82
Away Win · OSA
40%
Best 3.24
Best bet
Under 1.5
@ 2.55
Fair odds
2.29
book 2.55 · +11.1% better than market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Best bet confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +11.1%
AI preview · 90 sec read

AI sees no standout edge in this market — odds and probabilities line up.

Getafe hosts Osasuna in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, backed by a stronger offensive profile against Getafe's vulnerable defense. Home momentum is modest with mixed recent results, while Osasuna's form shows signs of struggle but potential resilience. The tactical battle may hinge on Osasuna's pressing and attacking threat versus Getafe's compact defensive block at the Coliseum.

  • Osasuna's sharper attack challenges Getafe's leaky defense
  • Home side's recent form lacks consistency
  • Match likely to be cagey with moderate goal chances

Market · Fair (consensus)

4 bookmakers consensus · 15-min refresh
Market Best bookmaker Fair (consensus) AI prob. Edge
Under 0.5 6.50 5.05 17% +12.4% Watch
Under 1.5 2.55 2.30 44% +11.1% Watch
Double Chance X2 1.60 1.42 67% +7.6% Watch
Double Chance X2 1.50 1.42 71% +6.1% Watch
BTTS No 1.66 1.58 63% +4.1% Watch
Under 2.5 1.47 1.36 70% +2.8% Watch
Under 3.5 1.14 1.10 86% −1.4% Pass
Over 0.5 1.14 1.12 83% −5.7% Pass
Over 1.5 1.62 1.67 56% −8.6% Pass
Draw 2.85 2.73 32% −9.3% Pass
Double Chance 1X 1.31 1.38 65% −15.4% Pass
BTTS Yes 2.25 2.25 37% −16.1% Pass
Over 2.5 2.75 2.88 30% −17.3% Pass
Home Win 2.50 2.80 33% −18.1% Pass
Home Win 2.83 2.80 28% −20.2% Pass
Over 3.5 5.50 6.00 14% −25.6% Pass
Under 0.5
book 6.50 · fair 5.05 · 17%
+12.4%
Watch
Under 1.5
book 2.55 · fair 2.30 · 44%
+11.1%
Watch
Double Chance X2
book 1.60 · fair 1.42 · 67%
+7.6%
Watch
Double Chance X2
book 1.50 · fair 1.42 · 71%
+6.1%
Watch
BTTS No
book 1.66 · fair 1.58 · 63%
+4.1%
Watch
Under 2.5
book 1.47 · fair 1.36 · 70%
+2.8%
Watch
Under 3.5
book 1.14 · fair 1.10 · 86%
−1.4%
Pass
Over 0.5
book 1.14 · fair 1.12 · 83%
−5.7%
Pass
Over 1.5
book 1.62 · fair 1.67 · 56%
−8.6%
Pass
Draw
book 2.85 · fair 2.73 · 32%
−9.3%
Pass
Double Chance 1X
book 1.31 · fair 1.38 · 65%
−15.4%
Pass
BTTS Yes
book 2.25 · fair 2.25 · 37%
−16.1%
Pass
Over 2.5
book 2.75 · fair 2.88 · 30%
−17.3%
Pass
Home Win
book 2.50 · fair 2.80 · 33%
−18.1%
Pass
Home Win
book 2.83 · fair 2.80 · 28%
−20.2%
Pass
Over 3.5
book 5.50 · fair 6.00 · 14%
−25.6%
Pass
Best bookmaker — highest offer across all bookmakers. Fair (consensus) — median of all bookmakers with the bookmaker margin removed. AI prob. — AI's estimated probability of the outcome. Edge — how much the best bookmaker beats the AI-implied price (positive = value). ★ Top pick — highest-EV value bet; Watch — positive edge below the value threshold; Pass — no edge.

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0.84
Goals Scored
1.19
1.03
Goals Conceded
1.32
0.82
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
2.76
Shots on Target
3.97
4.30
Corners
3.76
39.65
Possession (%)
46.78
99.88
Efficiency index
99.90
72.64
Adjusted index
77.30
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
5
OFF · home
40
95
DEF · home
80
10
OFF · away
20
85
DEF · away
25
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Home Win · 2.43 ↑ 2.81 (+16%)
Home Win Draw Away Win

🎯 Scenario insights

Getafe wins when scoring first
100%
Osasuna wins when scoring first
33%
Getafe BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Osasuna BTTS rate · last 10
80%
Getafe Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
Osasuna Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Getafe comeback rate · last 10
0%
Osasuna comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Getafe · last 10 at home

0–15 18%
16–30 9%
31–45 27%
46–60 9%
61–75 18%
76–90 18%

Osasuna · last 10 away

0–15 25%
16–30 13%
31–45 13%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 50%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

A. Budimir
OSA · Attacker
17 G · 0.53 g/90

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample
MA
@maksymovmp
ROI -5.1%
50 minutes from now
La Liga Sa 23 May · 19:00
Getafe Getafe
0 : 0 live '
Osasuna Osasuna
Goals Over/Under First Half Over 1.5 @ 4.05
Stake 82 coins
Payout 332 pending
P/L +250 potential vs stake
Pending