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Home › Spain › La Liga › Getafe — Osasuna

Getafe vs Osasuna 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Getafe
Getafe
Home · last 5 L D W L W
Kick-off
Sat 23 May · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Osasuna
Osasuna
L L L L L Away · last 5
Coliseum Alfonso Pérez · Getafe Referee A. Quintero
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 44% · book 2.55 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 71% · book 1.50 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 63% · book 1.66 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.20 – 0.41
Δ −0.21
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 6.50 — +12.4% better than the market.

Getafe hosts Osasuna in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, backed by a stronger offensive profile against Getafe's vulnerable defense. Home momentum is modest with mixed recent results, while Osasuna's form shows signs of struggle but potential resilience. The tactical battle may hinge on Osasuna's pressing and attacking threat versus Getafe's compact defensive block at the Coliseum.

  • Osasuna's sharper attack challenges Getafe's leaky defense
  • Home side's recent form lacks consistency
  • Match likely to be cagey with moderate goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5
Under 0.5 @ 6.50 ✗ Lost
AI 17% Implied 15% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

GET 5-4-1 · OSA 5-3-2
Subs used · GET
82' Caceres ↑ · Liso ↓
89' Davinchi ↑ · Martin ↓
Subs used · OSA
68' Garcia ↑ · Herrando ↓
68' Barja ↑ · Torro ↓
70' Gomez ↑ · Garcia ↓
82' Osambela ↑ · Moncayola ↓
82' Moro ↑ · Oroz ↓

Statistics

GET 1 – 0 OSA
54%
Possession (%)
46%
0.20
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.41
6
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
5
1
Shots off Target
4
3
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
17
Fouls
20
68%
Pass Accuracy (%)
61%
1
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

11 · 1 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
57'
▮
F. Boyomo
Yellow Card
L. Milla
Assist · L. Vazquez · 1–0
⚽
59'
68'
⇄
R. Garcia ↓ · J. Herrando ↑
Substitution 1
68'
⇄
K. Barja ↓ · L. Torro ↑
Substitution 2
70'
⇄
M. Gomez ↓ · R. Garcia ↑
Substitution 3
82'
⇄
A. Osambela ↓ · J. Moncayola ↑
Substitution 4
82'
⇄
R. Moro ↓ · A. Oroz ↑
Substitution 5
D. Caceres ↓ · A. Liso ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
82'
Davinchi ↓ · M. Martin ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
89'
M. Arambarri
Yellow Card
▮
90'
90+2'
▮
A. Fernandez
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Getafe beat Osasuna 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 6, 5 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: L. Milla (59').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.08 units (Brier 0.191).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 1.5 2.55 2.30 44% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.50 1.42 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.66 1.57 63% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.62 1.67 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.14 2.07 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.25 2.25 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.75 2.88 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.83 2.80 28% Cashed +1.83 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.82 1.83 29% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
Away Win 3.24 3.10 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.47 1.36 70% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Draw 2.85 2.72 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.31 1.38 65% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Under 0.5 6.50 5.05 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.14 1.10 86% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.14 1.12 83% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.50 5.99 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.08u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
GET – OSA @ 6.50
+12.4%
Edge
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